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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Two weeks ago, just before the crucial sitting of the National Assembly that saw opposition parties voting to support the ANC’s Cyril Ramaphosa for the position of President, there was a key announcement by a small party.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That party was the NFP. The announcement was that it would join the IFP, ANC and DA in a provincial government. At the time, the focus was that this would keep MK and the EFF out of power in KwaZulu-Natal.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A comment by NFP leader Ivan Barnes may prove to be prophetic. While speaking about the NFP’s decision he made a much bigger point. As he put it:</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“These leaders of society should not be organised to advance narrow political and factional interests when it is known that they lead communities across all political affiliations. This must be a thing of the past. Joint gatherings and rallies must be held by all parties who are part of the government of national unity and provincial unity as part of ensuring that the people of this country pull behind a common vision.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What he was calling for was quite radical: events involving the ANC, the IFP the DA and other parties at which all of their supporters would be included.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Considering that much of our politics consists of leaders looking for ways to divide us, this is extraordinary.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But given KZN’s political history, which saw the IFP and the ANC engaged in long-term conflict in the 1990s and, more recently, incidents of violence between members of the IFP and the NFP, there is an important impetus behind the call: Could the joint events see these parties working together electorally?</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The DA and the IFP have a working relationship in KZN that was signed before the now defunct Multi-Party Charter movement was formed. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The rise of MK there might well scare the leaders of the ANC, DA, IFP and NFP into working together for a long time.</span>\r\n<h4><b>A new political vehicle</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meanwhile, the chair of the Institute for Security Studies, Jakkie Cilliers, has suggested that one of the best options for the country is for various parties to form a </span><a href=\"https://futures.issafrica.org/blog/2024/What-happens-next-within-the-ANC-will-determine-South-Africas-future\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“South Africa Party”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He argues that this is the only way to create a political vehicle that would unite people from different constituencies.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Of course, at a time when DA Federal Council Chair </span><a href=\"https://www.timeslive.co.za/politics/2024-06-19-are-mbalula-and-zille-at-odds-over-gnu-terms/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Helen Zille claims</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that ANC Secretary-General Fikile Mbalula does “not seem to understand” the agreement he has signed, this may seem like sheer fantasy.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That said, what unites the ANC and the DA (and others in the coalition) is a shared belief in constitutionalism. Should MK and the EFF grow in strength and appear to threaten this, this could push these parties closer together.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are one or two key decision points that will indicate whether this will happen.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The major fork in the road could well appear in the next few months. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At some point, the parties involved in the coalition will have to decide whether they will work together in local government. As </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-06-23-the-gnu-had-better-work-for-the-anc-and-da-or-else/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">previously examined</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, it is difficult to imagine the ANC working with the DA and the IFP in the national and provincial governments while cooperating with the EFF in two of the biggest metros.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the coalition parties do decide to work together in local government, then within the next year they would have to decide whether to campaign against each other in the local government elections.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If coalitions in local government had been working, it would surely be easier for them to avoid campaigning directly against each other, making this the beginning of the end of the distinct identities of these parties.</span>\r\n<h4><b>‘National Dialogue’</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There is another process under way which could give this more impetus.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Speaking before the election, former president Thabo Mbeki consistently called for a “National Dialogue”. He made this call again while casting his ballot.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">His foundation, working with several others, is about to launch a major campaign for such an event to happen.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Of course, this will not solve our problems — and it could even be a </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-05-14-second-codesa-a-seemingly-attractive-idea-that-does-not-translate-well-into-the-real-world/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">dangerous distraction</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One of the major problems facing such an event is how to determine who would represent which constituencies. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the 1990s it was simpler: the ANC represented many black people, the National Party represented most white people, the IFP had its constituency, and so on.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now the individual identities of parties are what many of their leaders and members cherish.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, it could now be in the interests of many of the parties in the coalition government to use this opportunity to start to work together more fundamentally.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Admittedly, it’s hard to envisage parties representing such different constituencies coming together.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For example, can the PAC and the FF+ form a single party, if they represent such different constituencies? And there appears to be little trust between the parties in the middle, the ANC and the DA. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But, a single party representing such different constituencies might be a repeat of what happened with the ANC. When it was formed it was never intended to be a multiclass, nonracial party. It was </span><a href=\"https://www.anc1912.org.za/history/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">only in the 1960s</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that the party allowed people from all racial groups to become members. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This was a process that happened over time.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A new South Africa Party could be formed quickly because of the sheer urgency of the situation.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While many factors mitigate against this happening, for the leaders involved in the new coalition, there is a powerful incentive: It may be the best way for them to retain political power, which could see them, in the end, moving in this direction.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As strange as it may seem. </span><b>DM</b>\r\n\r\n<iframe title=\"2024 Cabinet\" width=\"100%\" height=\"451\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" data-tally-src=\"https://tally.so/embed/nG1J92?hideTitle=1&dynamicHeight=1\"></iframe><script>var d=document,w=\"https://tally.so/widgets/embed.js\",v=function(){\"undefined\"!=typeof Tally?Tally.loadEmbeds():d.querySelectorAll(\"iframe[data-tally-src]:not([src])\").forEach((function(e){e.src=e.dataset.tallySrc}))};if(\"undefined\"!=typeof Tally)v();else if(d.querySelector('script[src=\"'+w+'\"]')==null){var s=d.createElement(\"script\");s.src=w,s.onload=v,s.onerror=v,d.body.appendChild(s);}</script>",
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