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"title": "Breaking: For the first time in an Arctic winter, commercial vessels traverse Far North from opposite sides",
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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For years a bleak island chain sandwiched between the Laptev and East Siberian seas off Russia’s Arctic coast has been viewed as one of the most difficult-to-reach places in the northern hemisphere. If it has been viewed at all. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With winter temperatures habitually plunging to -30</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">o</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">C or lower, it is also one of the more inhospitable tracts on the Northern Sea Route. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now, as world attention is consumed by developments in the US, </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Daily Maverick/Our Burning Planet</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> can confirm that an event with repercussions likely to echo down the generations quietly took place elsewhere, in the heart of this seemingly forgotten corner of Planet Earth.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to GPS data on global ship tracker </span><a href=\"http://www.marinetraffic.com/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Marinetraffic.com</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, two liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers passed each other at the New Siberian Islands on the night of 11 January around 9pm GMT; or on the morning of 12 January in the local time zone, Yakutsk Time.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This marks the first time that ice-class tankers are sailing opposing but parallel voyages along the Northern Sea Route in the dead of the frigid Arctic winter. </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Owned by Sovcomflot, Russia’s largest shipping company, LNG carrier </span><em><a href=\"https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:4327709/mmsi:212611000/imo:9737187/vessel:CHRISTOPHE_DE_MARGERIE/_:cbd34c879642577edc9fe211fabc057b\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Christophe de Margerie</span></a> </em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">had on 5 January departed Sabetta in northwest Siberia, a once-pristine and isolated wilderness that holds vast natural gas reserves. Her course? Travelling east through the Long Dark Night towards Dalian, a port city in northeast China. In turn, the gas tanker </span><em><a href=\"https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:5795153/mmsi:209351000/imo:9768526/vessel:NIKOLAY_ZUBOV/_:cbd34c879642577edc9fe211fabc057b\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nikolay</span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Zubov</span></a></em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> had departed Dalian on Christmas Day, bound, instead, in the opposite direction towards Sabetta’s vast LNG port.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The meeting, and passing, of these ships at Far North — entirely without ice-breaking help — mark a watershed moment in Arctic as well as climate politics.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And so</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> far, the parallel voyages are doing more than just helping to show that this region — up to now largely impassable in winter due to thick ice — is melting at record speed.</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-809387\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/Location-of-passing-ships.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1596\" height=\"1034\" /> The approximate position at the New Siberian Islands, High Arctic, where LNG carriers Christophe de Margerie and Nikolay Zubov crossed paths this week. (Credit: Google Maps)</p>\r\n\r\n<b>Superseding the Suez</b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These and </span><a href=\"https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/arctic-lng/2021/01/tankers-set-course-thick-ice-part-historical-experiment-northern-sea-route\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">other experimental shipments</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, a joint venture between the Russian gas and shipping industries and state nuclear energy corporation Rosatom, are also showing that the Northern Sea Route is now increasingly likely to be passable year-round. If anything in the geopolitical sense, the voyages are a demonstration of the Kremlin’s ambitions to transform the Northern Sea Route into a shipping superhighway and flood Asia-Pacific ports with LNG.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <em>Christophe de Margerie</em> had also</span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">crossed the Northern Sea Route last year in May, revealing that this passage was now fully open in summer.</span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"http://sovcomflot.ru/en/press_office/press_releases/item103401.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Accompanied by</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the nuclear-powered icebreaker Yamal, she took 12 days to complete the voyage, covering 2,563 nautical miles from Sabetta to Cape Dezhnev, the Eurasian landmass’s easternmost point.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“This successful voyage … allows us to move one step closer to realising the full transit potential of the Northern Sea Route, marking an important expansion in the shipping opportunities available to Arctic industrial projects in particular,” Sovcomflot president Igor Tonkovidov </span><a href=\"http://sovcomflot.ru/en/press_office/press_releases/item103401.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He added: “</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even in the challenging ice conditions encountered during this time of the year, choosing the Northern Sea Route allows for a significant reduction in the length of a voyage delivering LNG to [Asia-Pacific] ports compared with using the Suez Canal.” </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Arctic daily news site </span><a href=\"https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/arctic-lng/2021/01/tankers-set-course-thick-ice-part-historical-experiment-northern-sea-route\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Independent Barents Observer</span></i></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> noted that, by 2024, </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the Kremlin wants to have ramped up cargo volumes on the route by 80 million tons and a “further 130 million tons by 2035”. To date, reports the </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Observer</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the “lion’s share of the goods is LNG”. </span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-809389\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/Yamal-ship-traffic-tonight.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1660\" height=\"1114\" /> Ship traffic in the northwest Siberian Gulf of Ob on 12 January 2020, according to data provided by Martinetraffic.com. (Credit: Marinetraffic.com)</p>\r\n\r\n<b>It’s a gas – but is it green?</b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Demand for natural gas is partly driven by the fossil fuel’s reputation as the least damaging among its kind – it emits about 50% less carbon dioxide than coal when burnt. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even so, it is neither a renewable form of energy nor, in the case of Sabetta port stationed on the eastern edge of the Yamal wilderness, without environmental concerns. To open the basin in the 1,000km-long Gulf of Ob and construct the LNG terminal, a dredging fleet has targeted some tens of millions in cubic meters of frozen permafrost. The fleet </span><a href=\"https://www.dredgingtoday.com/2020/12/02/gulf-of-ob-dredging-works-wrapped-up/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reportedly</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> includes ships despatched from Belgium, the Netherlands and Germany. </span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https://chm.cbd.int/database/record?documentID=204096\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The UN Convention on Biological Diversity lists this gulf as an “EBSA”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> – an ecologically or biologically significant area.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The largest estuary in the Russian Arctic, “the continental outflow here is the greatest recorded in the Arctic seas”. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It supports large stocks of freshwater fishes, aquatic birds and waterfowl, the Convention’s “clearing-house mechanism” reports, and it is also an “important spawning area for the polar cod. The coastal zone of the area is characterised by exceptionally high biological and landscape diversity as well as a range of aquatic bird species.” </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These include globally threatened birds like Steller’s eider (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Polysticta stelleri</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">), velvet scoter (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Melanitta fusca</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) and long-tailed duck (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Clangula hyemalis</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">), which “breed in tundra but make extensive use of coastal waters during the non-breeding period. The estuary also provides moulting and feeding habitats for sea ducks, geese and swans, including dark-bellied Brent goose (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Branta bernicla</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) and Bewick’s swan (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cygnus columbianus</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">). The area is an important summer feeding ground for beluga whales, and polar bears occur in the outer part of it.”</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-809392\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/NIKOLAY_ZUBOV__GASLOG_SARATOGA_48288721721-scaled.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1340\" /> LNG carrier Nikolay Zubov departed the Chinese port city of Dalian on Christmas Day, bound for Sabetta Port on the Yamal Peninsula. (Credit: Wikimedia Commons)</p>\r\n\r\n<b>‘Incalculable repercussions for our climate’</b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The warmer conditions turning Vladimir Putin’s fantasy into a fast-tracked reality are also a warning, scientists have said, of a climate under siege from fossil fuels. This, despite greenhouse-gas savings that may have been achieved during the pandemic. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In October, the </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">€150-million MOSAiC expedition, led by the German icebreaker <em>Polarstern</em>, wrapped up the largest climate polar research mission in history after a year floating in and out of Arctic ice. Hosting some 440 researchers from nearly 40 countries, the expedition sketched dire predictions without drastic interventions. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“We’ve seen how the Arctic ice is dying. In the summer, even at the North Pole, it was characterised by extensive melting and erosion. If we don’t make immediate and sweeping efforts to combat climate warming, we’ll soon see ice-free Arctic summers, which will have incalculable repercussions for our own weather and climate,” expedition leader Professor Markus Rex </span><a href=\"https://www.awi.de/en/about-us/service/press/single-view/the-grand-finale-to-the-expedition-of-a-century.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“The winter temperatures we encountered were nearly always 10 degrees warmer than what [Norwegian explorer] Fridtjof Nansen experienced on his ground-breaking Arctic expedition over 125 years ago … We should do everything within our power to preserve it for future generations.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Similarly, </span><a href=\"https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-2020-warmest-year-record-europe-globally-2020-ties-2016-warmest-year-recorded\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">data released this week</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> by the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service shows that globally 2020 tied with 2016 as the warmest years yet recorded, “marking the end of the warmest decade on record, while CO</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> concentrations continue to rise”.</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-809384\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/LNG_tanker_Christophe_de_Margerie.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1880\" height=\"1160\" /> The 2017 naming ceremony for LNG carrier Christophe de Margerie in the Port of Bronka, Saint Petersburg, Russia. (Credit: Wikimedia Commons)</p>\r\n\r\n<b>Have an ice day, Murica, from the </b><b><i>Russia</i></b><b> with love</b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meanwhile, the Kremlin is forging ahead with Putin’s Arctic masterplan. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The present flagship vessel in Russia’s </span><a href=\"https://rosatom.ru/en/rosatom-group/the-nuclear-icebreaker-fleet/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">growing fleet</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of heavy-duty nuclear-powered icebreakers is the new-generation <em>Arktika</em>, now officially the most powerful ocean-going vessel of her kind. She completed her first working voyage in November, </span><a href=\"http://www.rosatomflot.ru/press-centr/novosti-predpriyatiya/2020/11/24/11348-atomnyy-ledokol-arktika-obespechil-pervuyu-provodku-v-akvatorii-severnogo-morskogo-puti-1/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> state-fleet operator Rosatomflot. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russia’s High Arctic defence arsenal includes the 114m-long ice-class patrol ship <em>Ivan Papanin</em>, something of a mutant multipurpose war machine designed to carry Kalibr cruise missiles and shuffle between tug, patrol, research and ice-breaking functions. She is slated to join the navy around 2023, Russian state media </span><a href=\"https://www.rt.com/russia/471836-russian-combat-icebreaker-launched/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reports</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">None of these vessels, however, will be a match for “</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the most powerful atomic-driven ship in the history of the world shipbuilding” – as the state’s shipyard </span><a href=\"https://www.rosneft.com/press/news/item/201883/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">describes her</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> – due to become operational in 2027. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Perhaps not unsurprisingly, this one will be called the <em>Russia</em>. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a nuclear-powered icebreaker, the 210m-long vessel will be able to stay at sea for eight months without entering a port, fortified by engine capability that will allow her to “operate autonomously for long periods without the need for frequent refuelling”, state media </span><a href=\"https://www.rt.com/business/494155-russia-nuclear-icebreaker-arctic/#:~:text=Russia%20%26%20FSU-,Russia%20starts%20building%20world's%20largest%20%26%20most%20powerful,icebreaker%20for%20Arctic%20sea%20voyages&text=Russia's%20Zvezda%20shipyard%20has%20begun,will%20be%20named%20'Russia'.\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">says</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It might be fair to say that the Kremlin and its state collaborators have a head start in this game – one that its neighbour on the other side of the Bering Strait alludes to in its own new strategic blueprint for the Arctic region, released on January 5. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Like Putin’s Russia, the US Navy’s </span><a href=\"https://media.defense.gov/2021/Jan/05/2002560338/-1/-1/0/ARCTIC%20BLUEPRINT%202021%20FINAL.PDF/ARCTIC%20BLUEPRINT%202021%20FINAL.PDF\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A Blue Arctic</span></i></a> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">report appears to accept the transformation of “</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">rapidly melting sea ice” into “navigable Arctic waters” as a </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">fait accompli.</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hence, the “Blue Arctic” of the report’s title – and a US naval department intent on heeding the “challenges and opportunities” of the region, as much as it seems keen to define itself in opposition to Russia and China, another growing polar power. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Without sustained American naval presence and partnerships in the Arctic region,” says the report, “peace and prosperity will be increasingly challenged by Russia and China, whose interests and values differ dramatically from ours.”</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <em>Christophe de Margerie</em> is set to call at Dalian on 26 January, while the <em>Nikolay Zubov</em> is expected to make landfall at Sabetta on 16 January. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The news may not have rocked world headlines. If one thing is certain, however, other Arctic powers and their allies are – or should be – making notes. </span><b>DM/OBP</b>",
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"description": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For years a bleak island chain sandwiched between the Laptev and East Siberian seas off Russia’s Arctic coast has been viewed as one of the most difficult-to-reach places in the northern hemisphere. If it has been viewed at all. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With winter temperatures habitually plunging to -30</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">o</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">C or lower, it is also one of the more inhospitable tracts on the Northern Sea Route. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now, as world attention is consumed by developments in the US, </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Daily Maverick/Our Burning Planet</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> can confirm that an event with repercussions likely to echo down the generations quietly took place elsewhere, in the heart of this seemingly forgotten corner of Planet Earth.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to GPS data on global ship tracker </span><a href=\"http://www.marinetraffic.com/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Marinetraffic.com</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, two liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers passed each other at the New Siberian Islands on the night of 11 January around 9pm GMT; or on the morning of 12 January in the local time zone, Yakutsk Time.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This marks the first time that ice-class tankers are sailing opposing but parallel voyages along the Northern Sea Route in the dead of the frigid Arctic winter. </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Owned by Sovcomflot, Russia’s largest shipping company, LNG carrier </span><em><a href=\"https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:4327709/mmsi:212611000/imo:9737187/vessel:CHRISTOPHE_DE_MARGERIE/_:cbd34c879642577edc9fe211fabc057b\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Christophe de Margerie</span></a> </em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">had on 5 January departed Sabetta in northwest Siberia, a once-pristine and isolated wilderness that holds vast natural gas reserves. Her course? Travelling east through the Long Dark Night towards Dalian, a port city in northeast China. In turn, the gas tanker </span><em><a href=\"https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:5795153/mmsi:209351000/imo:9768526/vessel:NIKOLAY_ZUBOV/_:cbd34c879642577edc9fe211fabc057b\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nikolay</span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Zubov</span></a></em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> had departed Dalian on Christmas Day, bound, instead, in the opposite direction towards Sabetta’s vast LNG port.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The meeting, and passing, of these ships at Far North — entirely without ice-breaking help — mark a watershed moment in Arctic as well as climate politics.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And so</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> far, the parallel voyages are doing more than just helping to show that this region — up to now largely impassable in winter due to thick ice — is melting at record speed.</span>\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_809387\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"1596\"]<img class=\"size-full wp-image-809387\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/Location-of-passing-ships.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1596\" height=\"1034\" /> The approximate position at the New Siberian Islands, High Arctic, where LNG carriers Christophe de Margerie and Nikolay Zubov crossed paths this week. (Credit: Google Maps)[/caption]\r\n\r\n<b>Superseding the Suez</b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These and </span><a href=\"https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/arctic-lng/2021/01/tankers-set-course-thick-ice-part-historical-experiment-northern-sea-route\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">other experimental shipments</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, a joint venture between the Russian gas and shipping industries and state nuclear energy corporation Rosatom, are also showing that the Northern Sea Route is now increasingly likely to be passable year-round. If anything in the geopolitical sense, the voyages are a demonstration of the Kremlin’s ambitions to transform the Northern Sea Route into a shipping superhighway and flood Asia-Pacific ports with LNG.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <em>Christophe de Margerie</em> had also</span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">crossed the Northern Sea Route last year in May, revealing that this passage was now fully open in summer.</span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"http://sovcomflot.ru/en/press_office/press_releases/item103401.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Accompanied by</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the nuclear-powered icebreaker Yamal, she took 12 days to complete the voyage, covering 2,563 nautical miles from Sabetta to Cape Dezhnev, the Eurasian landmass’s easternmost point.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“This successful voyage … allows us to move one step closer to realising the full transit potential of the Northern Sea Route, marking an important expansion in the shipping opportunities available to Arctic industrial projects in particular,” Sovcomflot president Igor Tonkovidov </span><a href=\"http://sovcomflot.ru/en/press_office/press_releases/item103401.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He added: “</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even in the challenging ice conditions encountered during this time of the year, choosing the Northern Sea Route allows for a significant reduction in the length of a voyage delivering LNG to [Asia-Pacific] ports compared with using the Suez Canal.” </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Arctic daily news site </span><a href=\"https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/arctic-lng/2021/01/tankers-set-course-thick-ice-part-historical-experiment-northern-sea-route\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Independent Barents Observer</span></i></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> noted that, by 2024, </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the Kremlin wants to have ramped up cargo volumes on the route by 80 million tons and a “further 130 million tons by 2035”. To date, reports the </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Observer</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the “lion’s share of the goods is LNG”. </span>\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_809389\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"1660\"]<img class=\"size-full wp-image-809389\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/Yamal-ship-traffic-tonight.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1660\" height=\"1114\" /> Ship traffic in the northwest Siberian Gulf of Ob on 12 January 2020, according to data provided by Martinetraffic.com. (Credit: Marinetraffic.com)[/caption]\r\n\r\n<b>It’s a gas – but is it green?</b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Demand for natural gas is partly driven by the fossil fuel’s reputation as the least damaging among its kind – it emits about 50% less carbon dioxide than coal when burnt. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even so, it is neither a renewable form of energy nor, in the case of Sabetta port stationed on the eastern edge of the Yamal wilderness, without environmental concerns. To open the basin in the 1,000km-long Gulf of Ob and construct the LNG terminal, a dredging fleet has targeted some tens of millions in cubic meters of frozen permafrost. The fleet </span><a href=\"https://www.dredgingtoday.com/2020/12/02/gulf-of-ob-dredging-works-wrapped-up/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reportedly</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> includes ships despatched from Belgium, the Netherlands and Germany. </span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https://chm.cbd.int/database/record?documentID=204096\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The UN Convention on Biological Diversity lists this gulf as an “EBSA”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> – an ecologically or biologically significant area.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The largest estuary in the Russian Arctic, “the continental outflow here is the greatest recorded in the Arctic seas”. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It supports large stocks of freshwater fishes, aquatic birds and waterfowl, the Convention’s “clearing-house mechanism” reports, and it is also an “important spawning area for the polar cod. The coastal zone of the area is characterised by exceptionally high biological and landscape diversity as well as a range of aquatic bird species.” </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These include globally threatened birds like Steller’s eider (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Polysticta stelleri</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">), velvet scoter (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Melanitta fusca</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) and long-tailed duck (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Clangula hyemalis</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">), which “breed in tundra but make extensive use of coastal waters during the non-breeding period. The estuary also provides moulting and feeding habitats for sea ducks, geese and swans, including dark-bellied Brent goose (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Branta bernicla</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) and Bewick’s swan (</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cygnus columbianus</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">). The area is an important summer feeding ground for beluga whales, and polar bears occur in the outer part of it.”</span>\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_809392\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"2560\"]<img class=\"size-full wp-image-809392\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/NIKOLAY_ZUBOV__GASLOG_SARATOGA_48288721721-scaled.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1340\" /> LNG carrier Nikolay Zubov departed the Chinese port city of Dalian on Christmas Day, bound for Sabetta Port on the Yamal Peninsula. (Credit: Wikimedia Commons)[/caption]\r\n\r\n<b>‘Incalculable repercussions for our climate’</b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The warmer conditions turning Vladimir Putin’s fantasy into a fast-tracked reality are also a warning, scientists have said, of a climate under siege from fossil fuels. This, despite greenhouse-gas savings that may have been achieved during the pandemic. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In October, the </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">€150-million MOSAiC expedition, led by the German icebreaker <em>Polarstern</em>, wrapped up the largest climate polar research mission in history after a year floating in and out of Arctic ice. Hosting some 440 researchers from nearly 40 countries, the expedition sketched dire predictions without drastic interventions. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“We’ve seen how the Arctic ice is dying. In the summer, even at the North Pole, it was characterised by extensive melting and erosion. If we don’t make immediate and sweeping efforts to combat climate warming, we’ll soon see ice-free Arctic summers, which will have incalculable repercussions for our own weather and climate,” expedition leader Professor Markus Rex </span><a href=\"https://www.awi.de/en/about-us/service/press/single-view/the-grand-finale-to-the-expedition-of-a-century.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“The winter temperatures we encountered were nearly always 10 degrees warmer than what [Norwegian explorer] Fridtjof Nansen experienced on his ground-breaking Arctic expedition over 125 years ago … We should do everything within our power to preserve it for future generations.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Similarly, </span><a href=\"https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-2020-warmest-year-record-europe-globally-2020-ties-2016-warmest-year-recorded\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">data released this week</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> by the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service shows that globally 2020 tied with 2016 as the warmest years yet recorded, “marking the end of the warmest decade on record, while CO</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> concentrations continue to rise”.</span>\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_809384\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"1880\"]<img class=\"size-full wp-image-809384\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/LNG_tanker_Christophe_de_Margerie.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1880\" height=\"1160\" /> The 2017 naming ceremony for LNG carrier Christophe de Margerie in the Port of Bronka, Saint Petersburg, Russia. (Credit: Wikimedia Commons)[/caption]\r\n\r\n<b>Have an ice day, Murica, from the </b><b><i>Russia</i></b><b> with love</b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meanwhile, the Kremlin is forging ahead with Putin’s Arctic masterplan. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The present flagship vessel in Russia’s </span><a href=\"https://rosatom.ru/en/rosatom-group/the-nuclear-icebreaker-fleet/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">growing fleet</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of heavy-duty nuclear-powered icebreakers is the new-generation <em>Arktika</em>, now officially the most powerful ocean-going vessel of her kind. She completed her first working voyage in November, </span><a href=\"http://www.rosatomflot.ru/press-centr/novosti-predpriyatiya/2020/11/24/11348-atomnyy-ledokol-arktika-obespechil-pervuyu-provodku-v-akvatorii-severnogo-morskogo-puti-1/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> state-fleet operator Rosatomflot. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russia’s High Arctic defence arsenal includes the 114m-long ice-class patrol ship <em>Ivan Papanin</em>, something of a mutant multipurpose war machine designed to carry Kalibr cruise missiles and shuffle between tug, patrol, research and ice-breaking functions. She is slated to join the navy around 2023, Russian state media </span><a href=\"https://www.rt.com/russia/471836-russian-combat-icebreaker-launched/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reports</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">None of these vessels, however, will be a match for “</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the most powerful atomic-driven ship in the history of the world shipbuilding” – as the state’s shipyard </span><a href=\"https://www.rosneft.com/press/news/item/201883/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">describes her</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> – due to become operational in 2027. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Perhaps not unsurprisingly, this one will be called the <em>Russia</em>. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a nuclear-powered icebreaker, the 210m-long vessel will be able to stay at sea for eight months without entering a port, fortified by engine capability that will allow her to “operate autonomously for long periods without the need for frequent refuelling”, state media </span><a href=\"https://www.rt.com/business/494155-russia-nuclear-icebreaker-arctic/#:~:text=Russia%20%26%20FSU-,Russia%20starts%20building%20world's%20largest%20%26%20most%20powerful,icebreaker%20for%20Arctic%20sea%20voyages&text=Russia's%20Zvezda%20shipyard%20has%20begun,will%20be%20named%20'Russia'.\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">says</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It might be fair to say that the Kremlin and its state collaborators have a head start in this game – one that its neighbour on the other side of the Bering Strait alludes to in its own new strategic blueprint for the Arctic region, released on January 5. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Like Putin’s Russia, the US Navy’s </span><a href=\"https://media.defense.gov/2021/Jan/05/2002560338/-1/-1/0/ARCTIC%20BLUEPRINT%202021%20FINAL.PDF/ARCTIC%20BLUEPRINT%202021%20FINAL.PDF\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A Blue Arctic</span></i></a> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">report appears to accept the transformation of “</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">rapidly melting sea ice” into “navigable Arctic waters” as a </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">fait accompli.</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hence, the “Blue Arctic” of the report’s title – and a US naval department intent on heeding the “challenges and opportunities” of the region, as much as it seems keen to define itself in opposition to Russia and China, another growing polar power. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Without sustained American naval presence and partnerships in the Arctic region,” says the report, “peace and prosperity will be increasingly challenged by Russia and China, whose interests and values differ dramatically from ours.”</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <em>Christophe de Margerie</em> is set to call at Dalian on 26 January, while the <em>Nikolay Zubov</em> is expected to make landfall at Sabetta on 16 January. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The news may not have rocked world headlines. If one thing is certain, however, other Arctic powers and their allies are – or should be – making notes. </span><b>DM/OBP</b>",
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