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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From the relatively ruddy fortunes of the red deer on Scotland’s Inner Hebrides Island of Rum to consumptive meerkats in Botswana’s Kalahari Desert, the effects of climate change appear surprisingly varied… and widespread.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Well, certainly the work of Prof Tim Clutton-Brock suggests this.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Clutton-Brock, an evolutionary biologist and ecologist, has dedicated his life to studying these two very different animals. And he hopes that the wealth of data he has collected will have predictive value, providing lessons on mitigating the effects of climate change and biodiversity loss.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The director of zoological research at Cambridge University will be among speakers at the </span><a href=\"https://ogresearchconservation.org/events/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oppenheimer Research Conference</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in Johannesburg in early October. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“The point of bringing someone like myself as an example is not because I’m saving meerkats or red deer. It is because I can possibly help provide answers about the likely consequences of climate change and provide insights to possible solutions,” he says. </span>\r\n<h4><b>Long haul</b></h4>\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1420505\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Prof-Tim-Clutton-Brock.jpg\" alt=\"climate change Clutton-Brock\" width=\"720\" height=\"680\" /> Professor Tim Clutton-Brock argues that it is incorrect to assume that all effects of climate change are uniformly bad. (Photo: Supplied)</p>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Clutton-Brock began his research into red deer about 50 years ago. His work seeks to identify how climate change affects individuals and categories of individuals, particularly females versus males.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The layman often assumes the effects of climate change are uniformly bad, but reality is more complicated.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Holistically, climate change is good for red deer as they do better in warmer weather conditions,” says Clutton-Brock.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Conversely, with meerkats, “climate change is clearly bad”, he says, explaining the survival rate and population numbers of these small mongooses are driven by rainfall. He mentions his research has found that “climate change increased the incidence of deaths from tuberculosis in meerkats”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Clutton-Brock has spent about 30 years in the Kalahari Desert working to uncover the secret lives and breeding habits of meerkats. This includes following the histories of individual animals, from their first moment on earth to their last.</span>\r\n<h4><b>Peephole</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He says the work can be challenging, particularly when you are dealing with 30-year-old data, and it’s clearly not for everyone. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But it does provide a peephole into the future for bigger groups. It could also be vital to predicting how animals are likely to fare in a changing environment.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Data such as this can be inserted into general population models and run several years into the future to see what could happen to the population. Not only that, but to see how climate change affects population dynamics.” </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Long-term studies are vital to our quest for answers, says Clutton-Brock. He says it gives us detailed insights into ecological processes and makes it possible to answer focused questions about what is happening.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Genetics play a part, too.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“I’d like to convince people that genetics play an important role in understanding the consequences and predicting the consequences of climate change,” he says.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Turning to conservation strategies for South Africa, Clutton-Brock is cautiously optimistic.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“From an outsider’s perspective, South Africa is a relatively safe place for biodiversity. It is blessed with fantastic biodiversity… fantastic park systems,” he says, but adds there are concerns as to whether we are doing enough to prevent biodiversity loss.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He believes we must take a local and pragmatic approach.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“I doubt you’ll halt average biodiversity loss across the country. But I think you can halt it in representative areas. It’s very important that those representative areas are adequately managed and protected, and also that they’re big enough.” </span><b>DM/OBP</b>\r\n\r\n<em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Maxcine Kater is with</span><a href=\"https://rovingreporters.co.za/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Roving Reporters</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and is a young scientist interning at the Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment. This article, commissioned by</span><a href=\"https://jivemedia.co.za/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Jive Media Africa</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, forms part of the Roving Reporters Game Changers series.</span></em>",
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It is because I can possibly help provide answers about the likely consequences of climate change and provide insights to possible solutions,” he says. </span>\r\n<h4><b>Long haul</b></h4>\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_1420505\" align=\"aligncenter\" width=\"720\"]<img class=\"size-full wp-image-1420505\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Prof-Tim-Clutton-Brock.jpg\" alt=\"climate change Clutton-Brock\" width=\"720\" height=\"680\" /> Professor Tim Clutton-Brock argues that it is incorrect to assume that all effects of climate change are uniformly bad. (Photo: Supplied)[/caption]\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Clutton-Brock began his research into red deer about 50 years ago. 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