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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In March 1994, the Lake Chad Basin Commission set up the Multinational Joint Task Force — comprising Cameroon, Chad, Niger and Nigeria, joined by Benin — to combat insecurity in the region. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The regional force symbolises commission member states’ ability to overcome the mistrust and friction that had characterised their bilateral relations, particularly around </span><a href=\"https://journals.co.za/doi/abs/10.31920/2056-5658/2018/v5n2a8\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">boundary</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> issues. However, in the past two years, rifts have weakened the task force — while the jihadist threat remains acute and demands regional, not just national, responses.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After a lacklustre first 10 years, the force was reactivated in 2014 in response to the rise and spread of Boko Haram attacks. Backed by the African Union (AU), its mandate focuses on combating Boko Haram and other terrorist groups to enable stabilisation and humanitarian operations. </span>\r\n<h4><b>Holistic peacebuilding approach</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The task force represented a cornerstone of the holistic peacebuilding approach envisaged by Lake Chad Basin Commission member states, who quickly understood the need to work together as a region against a transnational threat.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The force’s record since 2014 is generally encouraging, with successes achieved in halting Boko Haram’s territorial expansion. At its height, Boko Haram controlled large areas in northeast Nigeria and directly threatened cities like Chad’s capital N’Djamena, Cameroon’s Far North Region capital Maroua, and southeast Niger’s Diffa. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The insurgents are currently enclaved in three main areas: Lake Chad’s islands, Cameroon’s Mandara Mountains, and Sambisa Forest in Nigeria.</span>\r\n<h4><b>Lake Chad Basin region</b></h4>\r\n<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2563724\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/LCB-map-2025.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1680\" height=\"1200\" />\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Through several </span><a href=\"https://mnjtffmm.org/mnjtf-operations/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">operations</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, such as </span><a href=\"https://issafrica.org/iss-today/capitalising-on-operation-lake-sanity-s-success-against-boko-haram\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lake Sanity</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the Multinational Joint Task Force has regularly disrupted Boko Haram by dismantling its bases, arms caches, weapons and armour manufacturing workshops. Fighters — including commanders — have been neutralised, liberating occupied communities and enabling the seizure of military and logistical equipment. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cross-border economic activities have largely resumed, and towns like Nigeria’s Bagakawa, Monguno, Mallam Fatori and Banki are gradually regaining their earlier dynamism.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, Boko Haram factions have demonstrated resilience and adaptability in the face of military operations. The death of top leaders like Abubakar Shekau, the neutralisation of other senior </span><a href=\"https://saharareporters.com/2024/08/18/boko-haram-commander-abu-rajab-3-other-terrorists-reportedly-killed-sambisa-forest\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">commanders</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and material losses have weakened the group without definitively eliminating its capacity to wreak havoc. And so the threat persists.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Institute for Security Studies data shows that several deadly attacks were recorded in the last quarter of 2024 in the four Lake Chad Basin riparian countries. In Nigeria, at least 81 people died and others are missing after a 1 September 2024 attack in Mafa. In Niger, a transport vehicle ran over an improvised explosive device (IED), killing six people on 28 September. </span>\r\n<h4><b>Daily attacks on civilians</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On 28 October, Boko Haram attacked Chad’s army in Barkaram, killing more than 40 soldiers. In Cameroon, an incursion into Ldamang (Mayo-Tsanaga) killed 11 people on 12 November. Daily attacks on civilians are occurring in the cross-border areas of Cameroon and Nigeria’s Borno State, along with a </span><a href=\"https://issafrica.org/iss-today/boko-haram-brings-ieds-back-to-cameroon\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">resurgence</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of IEDs and suicide bombings.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The task force has withstood Boko Haram’s attacks across the region, but is unlikely to survive a rift between the countries that contribute its troops and resources. Following Niger’s 26 July 2023 coup, the country has been in a “stand-down” mode from the force. This endangers both Niger and the region, given that it is around Niger’s Baroua area that Bakura Doro, Shekau’s apparent new successor, is based.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Chad also threatened to withdraw from the force in November 2024. After the deadly October attack in Barkaram, Chad quickly launched its own Operation </span><a href=\"https://www.bbc.com/afrique/articles/c2dl3096d8eo\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Haskanite</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to hunt down and neutralise the terrorists, but felt the other task force member states should have provided more support. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These developments show the vulnerability of ad hoc security arrangements and why the current tensions between Lake Chad basin countries must be taken seriously. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the same time, the Multinational Joint Task Force faces internal challenges that need attention. These include insufficient troops and equipment to deploy to islands and swamplands, and difficulties combatting IEDs and communicating effectively. Financial resources are also inadequate.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Lake Chad Basin jihadist threat is both transnational and inter-regional, and cannot be overcome by national approaches alone. To be effective, responses must match the threat. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The region should carefully examine the task force’s challenges and some member states’ grievances to strengthen operations and avoid the same fate as the G5 Sahel force. The G5 Sahel was disbanded after setbacks in military cooperation between Sahel countries such as Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger and France, the force’s main partner. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Unlike the G5 Sahel, which was driven by France, the task force has the advantage of being run by countries in the region. Although relations between Sahel countries and their neighbours remain tense, Nigeria’s recent </span><a href=\"https://www.bbc.com/afrique/articles/cx2l922k7y0o\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">diplomatic</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> initiatives towards Niger and Chad should be strengthened to prevent them leaving the task force. </span>\r\n<h4><b>At a crossroads</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After more than a decade of relatively successful regional and multidimensional combat against Boko Haram, the Lake Chad Basin Commission member states are at a crossroads, and decisions about the future must be made. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Fourth Lake Chad Basin Governors’ Forum in Maiduguri this month provides the chance to assess the Multinational Joint Task Force’s progress, ease hostilities and jointly consider solutions. Lake Chad Basin Commission members’ defence ministers should also meet to settle disagreements and keep the force going. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Beyond the task force, countries should invest more in the commission’s core mission and mandate — to manage the waters sustainably and equitably, conserve the basin’s ecosystems, promote regional integration, and preserve peace and security. In short, holistic measures are needed. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Finally, more technical and financial support is needed from the international community to enhance the task force’s operational and strategic capabilities. A weakened force would allow a resurgence of violent extremism in the region and beyond. <strong>DM</strong></span>\r\n\r\n<em>Remadji Hoinathy is a Senior Researcher, Central Africa and Lake Chad Basin, Institute for Security Studies (ISS) and Raoul Sumo Tayo is a Senior Researcher, ENACT Central Africa, ISS.</em>\r\n\r\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First published by </span></i><a href=\"https://issafrica.org/iss-today\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ISS Today</span></i></a>",
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