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"title": "Embarrassing puzzle – why SA should be breaking up with BRICS",
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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa have been in the news lately, but for all the wrong reasons.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Apart from Russia’s war-mongering in Ukraine and China’s renewed hostility towards Taiwan, Brazil’s newly elected leader, Lula da Silva, has been spearheading plans to establish an alternative international trade and reserve currency to the US dollar. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These attempts surfaced at the first summit of the Bric countries in 2009 in Russia (one year before South Africa’s inclusion). They have become vogue again as China and Russia start to consolidate efforts to create a so-called new world order.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fourteen years on and nothing much has changed in the realm of the dominant international financial status of the US dollar and the euro.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It seems clear that the heightened geopolitical tensions arising from Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine and China’s ambitions to expand its communist model of authoritarian government has renewed the appetite of BRICS and like-minded countries to challenge the US dollar and the euro.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This task seems futile when considering the long history behind the role played by Western currencies in trade and official foreign exchange reserves.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A member of the Russian parliament was recently quoted by </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bloomberg </span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">as stating that the BRICS nations were in the process of creating a new medium for payments that deliberately replaces the equivalent demand for US dollars and euros. </span>\r\n<h4><b>Differences on policy issues</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here is the first snag in these over-ambitious plans, namely the huge differences in the economic prowess between the five countries. Differences will continue to abound on issues such as environmental protocols, intra-BRICS trade balances, trade policy (especially China’s habit of “dumping”), human rights, as well as lingering hostility between India and China. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Any meaningful undervaluation of individual BRICS currencies will also lead to tensions, as this will erode the competitiveness of the other currencies.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Differences of opinion may also arise with any future expansion of BRICS. Several of the countries that have indicated an interest in joining BRICS have serious problems in the areas of fiscal and monetary stability, and most of them have dubious rankings in the </span><a href=\"https://fragilestatesindex.org/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fragile State Index</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Africa’s membership of BRICS has puzzled political and economic researchers ever since disgraced former president Jacob Zuma accepted the invitation to join in 2010.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the time, Bric was widely regarded as an anti-America club, although India has not been as fervent as the other three countries in criticising the Western world order (characterised by democracy and economic freedom).</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When considering the relative sizes of the BRICS economies, it seems clear that South Africa is destined to merely toe the line, without any meaningful influence in key decisions – hence the embarrassing stance on Russia’s war on Ukraine.</span>\r\n\r\n<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1658889\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/903c70887f207841fcc0c2647ec9cda3-0.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"540\" />\r\n<h4><b>Mountain to climb</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The futility of the BRICS’ ambitions for a new international reserve currency is underscored by the composition of global foreign exchange reserves.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It seems as if China and Russia, who have been particularly vocal about their de facto</span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">opposition towards the values enshrined in the UN Charter on Human Rights, have missed an important point: they are not doing battle with the US alone, but with its allies as well.</span>\r\n\r\n<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1658887\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/inset-2-9.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"289\" />\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Africa’s association with the repressive regimes of China and Russia have been a source of both embarrassment and concern for many South Africans.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In March, t</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">he International Criminal Court issued a warrant of arrest for Russian President Vladimir Putin for the unlawful deportation of children.</span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more in Daily Maverick:</b> <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-03-vladimir-putin-in-south-africa-a-diplomatic-and-legal-dilemma-for-the-government/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vladimir Putin in South Africa: A diplomatic and legal dilemma for the government</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In August 2022, the United Nations reported that China’s government had committed abuses that may amount to </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-09-01-un-says-china-may-have-committed-crimes-against-humanity-in-xinjiang/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">crimes against humanity</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. This followed concrete evidence of </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">mass arbitrary detention, torture, cultural persecution and forced labour of people in the Xinjiang region.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is clear that the war in Ukraine has led to an escalation of a stark political dividing line between Russia (supported by China) and the West, which threatens to turn BRICS into an association not so much interested in economic development, but rather bent on spreading a dangerous system of authoritarian nationalism.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Viewed against the background of the strategically important trade and investment relationship between South Africa and its key trading partners in Europe and the US, it is in the economic interests of the country to reconsider its membership of BRICS and rather focus on strengthening the logistics infrastructure and trade relations in southern Africa. </span><b>BM/DM</b>\r\n\r\n<iframe title=\"Questions for Electricity Minister\" width=\"100%\" height=\"300\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" data-tally-src=\"https://tally.so/embed/mOaxq8?hideTitle=1&dynamicHeight=1\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"></iframe><script>var d=document,w=\"https://tally.so/widgets/embed.js\",v=function(){\"undefined\"!=typeof Tally?Tally.loadEmbeds():d.querySelectorAll(\"iframe[data-tally-src]:not([src])\").forEach((function(e){e.src=e.dataset.tallySrc}))};if(\"undefined\"!=typeof Tally)v();else if(d.querySelector('script[src=\"'+w+'\"]')==null){var s=d.createElement(\"script\");s.src=w,s.onload=v,s.onerror=v,d.body.appendChild(s);}</script>",
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