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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cost pressures on food are softening, but retailers are not passing these on to the consumer quickly enough, particularly on certain types of food, says the Competition Commission. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The competition watchdog released its latest Essential Food Pricing Monitoring (EFPM) Report, which tracks essential food prices throughout the value chains of selected essential food items, on 4 October 2024.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It has tracked these since the onset of Covid to protect consumers from exploitation. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The latest report, by senior economists Khalirendwe Ranenyeni and Kagiso Zwane from the commission’s economic research bureau, suggests that food prices may be starting to stabilise, largely due to the end of rolling blackouts (</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-10-01-heres-the-data-showing-how-eskom-is-able-to-keep-sas-lights-on/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">which stopped on 26 March</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">), the stronger rand and lower fuel costs — factors that had been significant contributors to elevated food prices. Since these were no longer the biggest cost drivers, and weather-related issues like drought and heavy rain have subsided, food prices should ease, but that’s always not the case. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Retail prices for maize, brown bread and tinned fish were increasing, but stabilising, although sunflower oil and eggs were declining. Despite a decrease in farmgate prices for wheat, the producer price of brown bread has increased. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The average producer price of cooking oil has dropped significantly, the report said, but it has not translated into lower retail prices. As a result, the producer-to-retail price gap for cooking oil is now higher than it was just before the start of the war in Ukraine.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are concerns signs that maize meal prices are once again rising due to the drought.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling blackouts have been incredibly disruptive to chicken production, Zwane said, causing longer growth periods for birds, higher feed costs and investments in cold storage and backup power generation. South Africa’s two largest listed entities (Rainbow Chicken and Astral) have reported improved profitability and lower feed costs, but they have the ability to pass through price increases, as well as later agricultural and breeding performance.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bird flu effects are lingering in the market, the commission noted.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A week ago, t</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">he South African Poultry Association and the FairPlay Movement reiterated their call to </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-09-29-chicken-must-be-made-vat-free-says-sa-poultry-association/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">exempt specific chicken products from VAT</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to provide relief for low-income households and boost the poultry industry. Izaak Breitenbach, CEO of the association, said avian influenza cost the industry more than R9.5-billion – money that they can’t afford. “Consumers are cash-strapped. They can’t pay for increased costs due to avian influenza and the fact that we can’t vaccinate against it, as they do in France.”</span><b> </b>\r\n<h4><b>Food security concerns </b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The commission is particularly concerned about food security, especially for the poor. Ranenyeni said a</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lthough inflation has decreased over the past six months from 10% (and even greater for food inflation) to 4.4%, prices have not reduced. It has tracked the work of the Pietermaritzburg Economic Justice and Dignity Group, which shows that minimum-wage earners cannot afford the basic food basket.</span>\r\n\r\n<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2398212\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/image2.png\" alt=\"food prices\" width=\"682\" height=\"309\" />\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The cost of this basic food basket has increased by more than 50% since September 2020, making it less affordable for households earning the national minimum wage. In October 2020, a worker earning the minimum wage would have earned R3,653.76 in a month, the report notes, leaving a shortfall of R262.96 (7%). By May 2024, that same worker’s monthly earnings increased to R4,633.76, but the shortfall grew to R696.86 (13%). Transport costs also rose during this period. </span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more: </b><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-10-03-food-basket-rises-by-r24-while-grants-increase-by-r10/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Food basket rises by R24 while grants increase by R10</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Highlighting the “rockets and feathers” phenomenon, she said that prices were quick to rise but slow to fall, as also seen with sunflower oil and maize meal prices, which were pushed up temporarily due to the drought but have not yet translated to retail level,</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> despite cost decreases. The slow pace at which cost reductions were being passed onto consumers has raised concern that retailers are potentially exploiting the situation for profit.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ranenyeni said producers and retailers are “quick to increase prices if there’s an input cost increase, but slow to decrease them when the cost pressure eases”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rockets and feathers were prevalent in most of the products that they track over time, but they have started seeing companies being more responsive to the commission’s concerns, reflecting the positive impact of these reports, she added.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“The drought has definitely complicated the picture, despite the fact that it happened several months ago. We are cognisant of the fact that it takes a long time for prices to filter through the value chain. Maize meal prices started increasing in the last three or so months at the retail level. So we definitely will continue to monitor that,” Zwane said. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the retail level, the commission compared South African retailers’ margins with other countries, and found that they had higher margins than their counterparts in other countries. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Their net profit margins remain mixed,” Ranenyeni said, “but are within the typical range of 6% to 8%.”</span>\r\n\r\n<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2398211\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/image1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"684\" height=\"417\" />\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consumer behaviour has changed in line with high prices: they are seeking cheaper alternatives, such as canned pilchards due to cost increases in other proteins, and are switching to private-label brands, which are often more competitively priced than branded products. </span><b>DM</b>",
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