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This is an opinion piece. The views expressed are not that of Daily Maverick.....

If the ANC doesn’t change now, it risks governing in a coalition after the 2024 general elections

The ANC is in a serious crisis — the party is highly divided. This is the first time that the party has gone below 50% of the vote since the dawn of our democracy.

It has been interesting to observe the election results responses. The party still enjoys so much goodwill in South African society and arguably internationally. It still has the luxury of people opting out of the electoral process altogether instead of voting for alternatives.

I don’t think the ANC fully appreciates the significance of the historical moment in which it finds itself; and the window to “self-correct and renew” is rapidly diminishing, as evidenced by the local government elections results.

The party will have to revisit the suggestion by the ANC Veterans that they hold a consultative conference. Since its formation, the ANC has held two consultative conferences; the first in 1969 and the second in 1985. If the ANC NEC took this route, it would show that it is indeed serious about self-correcting and about the renewal of the ANC.

It would have to also use a different method in electing delegates to such a conference and not use the one that we all know — of branch delegates — since this would be an extraordinary conference. 

In December next year, the ANC will hold its elective national conference although it has not held its National General Conference (NGC) which was due last year. Should the ANC go this route without holding a consultative conference, it would show that it is not serious about self-correcting.

The above-mentioned conference will further divide the organisation rather than unify it. The ANC leadership spends most of its time fighting internal factional battles. How will the leadership focus on good governance when it continues to fight among itself on a daily basis and plot on removing opposing faction members from political positions? 

On the other hand, there are regions and provinces that are due to hold their respective conferences, and there has been a delay in this regard over the past few months due to Covid-19 regulations. This is also where the battles will start in the build-up to the national conference, because both the CR and RET factions will have to consolidate power among regions that will support them next year once the nomination process has been opened by the ANC NEC. 

The ANC cannot want the short cut of rushing to an NGC or a national conference. It continues to decline because it can’t hold its deployed cadres accountable for not performing in their respective positions in government.

This is because the factions feel that they need to manage political relations which is often at the expense of the people, leading to the ANC losing votes during elections. If the ANC has to renew itself or self-correct, it will have to make very difficult decisions.

It will also have to start by looking at the kind of people it recruits into the ANC. The ANC has a document that it calls “through the eye of the needle”. It should actually use this document as a basis when it recruits new members instead of just recruiting for the sake of conferences because it wants to have numbers at a conference. This factional conduct ignores the quality of delegates and how those members or delegates would help to build a strong organisation. 

The process of renewal and self-correcting will need sober-minded people, as this process can’t be used to purge people. It needs people who will not be emotional and point fingers at others. Both the CR and RET factions will have to listen to each other and be tolerant of each other. Fighting each other after these elections will not be in the best interests of the ANC.

Post-Polokwane, the ANC has been at war with itself and we saw the formation of Cope and the EFF because of a lack of political tolerance within the party. It needs to put aside its differences if it is serious about unity. This will not be an easy process, but it will have to be done. 

This process should also include the ANCWL, ANCYL and MKMVA. A weak ANC means that its leagues become weaker and also the alliance becomes weaker. The ANC is the leader of an alliance that includes Cosatu and the SACP. The alliance partners have become weaker over the years as they continue to be involved in ANC factional battles that are not in the best interests of the ANC, but of individuals within the party. 

Renewal means also changing the character of the ANC as an organisation, as it can’t operate in the manner it has since 1994. It will also have to be transparent with members about its finances. The treasurer-general’s report is the only ANC report that is not given to delegates, who receive the political and organisational reports at every party conference.

Change is scary by its nature, but there is a need for change if the ANC is serious about governing South Africa.

The national general election is in 2024 and if the ANC does not change now, it will find itself in a national coalition government — as well as in some provinces. DM

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