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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">President Cyril Ramaphosa</span><a href=\"https://www.iol.co.za/the-star/news/atm-welcomes-impeachment-process-against-ramaphosa-98e69a75-5a82-4f79-9063-9b98cdf5fd1f\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> faces possible impeachment</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in Parliament over the illegal stashing of thousands of US dollars at his Phala Phala farm </span><a href=\"https://theconversation.com/ramaphosa-scandal-looks-set-to-intensify-the-ancs-slide-ushering-in-a-new-era-of-politics-185719\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">in 2020</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. This is not the first time there’s been a threat of impeachment of a president in post-democratic South Africa. His scandal-prone predecessor, Jacob Zuma, </span><a href=\"https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/south-african-president-jacob-zuma-defeats-impeachment-vote-1339127\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">survived an impeachment vote in 2017</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> over the illegal use of public money to renovate his private residence. There is, however, a difference in the process being followed this time. It is the first since Parliament adopted rules to guide the process for the impeachment of a president in 2018, following a Constitutional Court</span><a href=\"http://www.saflii.org/za/cases/ZACC/2017/47.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> judgment</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n<h4>First steps</h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is the first time a process of a motion being tabled and an independent panel being established has been used. That alone makes it a very significant moment. How the panel interprets and then applies “the law” will set an important precedent. It may be subject to judicial review, especially if the panel finds that there is insufficient evidence for the impeachment process to proceed to a full parliamentary inquiry.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The process is triggered when a party with parliamentary representation tables a motion in the National Assembly requesting impeachment.</span>\r\n\r\n<em>Read more on Daily Maverick</em>: <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-11-29-ramaphosas-day-of-truth-beckons-as-independent-panel-prepares-to-hand-over-phala-phala-report/\">Ramaphosa’s day of truth beckons as independent panel prepares to hand over Phala Phala report</a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In this instance, this was done by a small party with</span><a href=\"https://www.parliament.gov.za/national-assembly\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> only two seats</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the African Transformation Movement (</span><a href=\"https://www.pa.org.za/organisation/atm/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ATM</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">), in terms of section 89 of the</span><a href=\"https://www.gov.za/documents/constitution-republic-south-africa-1996\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Constitution</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Section 89 is one of two parliamentary routes by which a sitting president (or their government) can be removed from office. The other is in terms of section 102 of the Constitution, which is a vote of no confidence – a purely political, and therefore subjective matter. Several such motions of no confidence were tabled against Jacob Zuma, but he survived them all, as the ruling</span><a href=\"https://www.britannica.com/topic/African-National-Congress\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> ANC</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> whip held the line.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Section 89 contains three specific grounds for “impeachment” (although the section does not use the word). The National Assembly may remove the president from office (with a supporting vote of at least two-thirds of its members), only when the president:</span>\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>Has committed a serious violation of the Constitution or law;</li>\r\n \t<li>Has committed serious misconduct; or</li>\r\n \t<li>Suffers from an inability to perform the functions of office.</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The fact that this is a parliamentary process, triggered by a particular section 89 motion, and that it requires an objective test to be met, is of very great significance because it requires that an evidence-based finding be made in relation to one or other of the three grounds.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2018-11-22-house-approves-rules-on-impeaching-a-president/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> new rules</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> now provide for a two-stage process to establish whether such evidence exists to justify the removal of the president from office.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The first step is that after the motion has been tabled in parliament, the National Assembly must set up a panel to conduct a “preliminary enquiry relating to a motion proposing a section 89 enquiry.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The underlying purpose of the panel is to prevent spurious or vexatious impeachment attempts to proceed without any proper evidential basis.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Accordingly, the panel must be composed of “three fit and proper, competent, experienced and respected South Africans, which may include a judge, and who collectively possess the necessary legal competence and experience”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Parties represented in Parliament can nominate people to serve on the panel, whereafter the Speaker of the National Assembly makes the appointment. In this case, the Speaker has appointed former Chief Justice Sandile Ngcobo as the chair.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The motion tabled by the ATM seeking Ramaphosa’s impeachment, as leading law reporter Franny Rabkin </span><a href=\"https://www.timeslive.co.za/sunday-times/opinion-and-analysis/insight/2022-11-20-an-impeachment-case-to-answer-for-phala-phala-saga/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">has pointed out</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, provides tramlines within which the panel must stay when performing its mandate. This limits the evidence and the allegations that the panel is authorised to consider.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The motion is relatively limited in its target area. It confines itself to the specifics of the mysterious theft of money at Ramaphosa’s Phala Phala farm, and his immediate response to the theft.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hence, </span><a href=\"https://www.concourt.org.za/index.php/judges/former-judges/11-former-judges/66-chief-justice-sandile-ngcobo\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ngcobo</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is likely to be fastidious with regard to confining the panel’s deliberations. Any evidence or allegation relating to a matter not rooted in the original motion is likely to be disregarded.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The panel’s overriding legal responsibility is not to determine whether there is a “prima facie” case – meaning that “at face value” there would appear to be a case to answer. Rather, it is whether there is “sufficient evidence” of one or other of the three grounds for removal from office set out in section 89.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In this case, the third ground – incapacity – does not arise. Instead, the question for the panel is whether there is sufficient evidence of serious misconduct or a serious violation of the law.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The word “serious” here is very significant. If Ramaphosa has broken the law or behaved inappropriately or unwisely in his response to the theft, that will not be enough to meet the test, unless it is “serious”.</span>\r\n<h4>A high bar</h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It seems to me that the test of “sufficient evidence” is a subtle but qualitatively higher one than “prima facie”, because the panel is required to consider the evidence presented by the ATM and then the president’s response, and to make a finding.</span>\r\n\r\n<hr />\r\n\r\n<strong>Visit <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za?utm_source=direct&utm_medium=in_article_link&utm_campaign=homepage\"><em>Daily Maverick's</em> home page</a> for more news, analysis and investigations</strong>\r\n\r\n<hr />\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In turn, this means that the chair of the panel and his two colleagues face a rather tricky task because the rules place severe limits on the scope of their investigation.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What the rules say is “in considering the matter” </span><a href=\"https://pmg.org.za/tabled-committee-report/3467/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the panel</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> may, in its sole discretion, afford any member an opportunity to place relevant written or recorded information before it within a specific timeframe.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is clear that the panel has done this, and that the ATM, at least, has responded by placing what they claim is </span><a href=\"https://www.iol.co.za/the-star/news/atm-to-supplement-its-impeachment-motion-4c57ac76-3f6e-41f0-9419-700c7d0b31a2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">further evidence</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> before the panel. But unless it is relevant to the motion, and falls within the tramlines that it set, the other, extraneous evidence will and should be disregarded by the panel.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Having sought evidence from members of Parliament – this being a parliamentary process – the panel has also been required to give the president an opportunity to respond. This may explain the delay in the panel concluding its work and the need for a two-week extension to</span><a href=\"https://www.citizen.co.za/news/phala-phala-deadline-extended-november-2022/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> 30 November</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After that date, Parliament has rightly </span><a href=\"https://www.parliament.gov.za/press-releases/national-assembly-consider-independent-panel-report-6-december\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">postponed rising for the year</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> so that the panel’s report can be debated in early December.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The report is required to make findings and provide reasons for its conclusion, but it can only do so based on the written evidence adduced before it.</span>\r\n<h4>Implications</h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Given the threshold test that the rules establish for the performance of its mandate, it is more likely than not that the panel will determine that there is not sufficient evidence.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even then, the words the panel uses will be weighed heavily in the balance politically. At the very least, a lot more information is going to be in the public domain about the curious events of that February night in 2020 at the president’s farm, and how he handled the matter.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It could have enormous implications, not just for Ramaphosa’s immediate political future as well as his long-term legacy, but for constitutional accountability in South Africa. </span><b>DM</b>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https://theconversation.com/profiles/richard-calland-182127\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Richard Calland</span></i></a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is Associate Professor in Public Law at the </span></i><a href=\"https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-cape-town-691\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">University of Cape Town</span></i></a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span></i>\r\n\r\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This article is republished from </span></i><a href=\"https://theconversation.com\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Conversation</span></a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> under a Creative Commons licence. Read the</span></i><a href=\"https://theconversation.com/how-to-impeach-a-president-ramaphosa-case-puts-new-rules-to-the-test-in-south-africa-195390\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> original article</span></i></a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span></i>",
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"summary": "This is not the first threat of impeachment of a president in post-democratic South Africa, but this time it’s different. Richard Calland explains.",
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