India’s bowling attack more ruthless than ever, poses big threat to South Africa

The core of the Indian cricket team has remained intact since their last tour to South Africa – the Freedom Trophy Test match series in early 2018 – but this time they have more depth in the bowling division.

As far as their bowlers are concerned, Ishant Sharma, Umesh Yadav, Jasprit Bumrah, Ravichandran Ashwin and Mohammed Shami all formed part of the last touring party to South Africa. They will once again form part of the Virat Kohli-led squad in their three-match Test series in January and December.

India’s recent victorious tour to Australia will aid the team’s belief in their ability to succeed on hard, fast, seam-friendly surfaces typically associated with South Africa, England, New Zealand and Australia.

The series, which took place in front of limited crowds, due to Covid-19, in December and January 2020/21, forced the Indian team to rely on their vast bowling depth.

This was due to a number of injuries sustained by their key bowlers, including the experienced Sharma, Shami, Yadav and Bumrah, who usually form the core of India’s fast-bowling line-up but played either no part or only a small part in the Test series down under.

India’s bowlers took 20 wickets twice in the four-match series against Australia, despite the Baggy Greens team possessing three batters currently in the ICC top 10 – David Warner, Marnus Labuschagne and Steve Smith. Meanwhile, Australia only managed to take all 20 of India’s wickets once, in the first match of the series – the only match the hosts won.

India’s injury-ravaged series led to the fortuitous sink-or-swim moment for the next tier of Indian fast bowlers in Mohammed Siraj and Shardul Thakur, who have since acquired excellent test-bowling averages of 27.7 and 22.7 respectively. Both have been selected for the tour to South Africa.

The gritty, never-say-die attitude encapsulated in the way Siraj bowls makes him a valuable addition to the more reserved fast-bowling duo of Bumrah and Shami who usually prefer to let the ball do the talking.

The likely opening bowling pair of talisman Bumrah and the underrated Shami will be a handful for the South African batters to contend with.

Having made his Test debut in India’s previous tour to South Africa, in 2018, Bumrah will look forward to the prospect of improving his already impressive average of 25.2 balls per wicket in the country, which is slightly north of his overall world-class average of 22.8.

In the five matches that Shami has played in South Africa, he has taken 21 wickets at an average of 24.71. His skiddy bowling action will lend itself well to the fast-paced South African pitches.

The 31-year-old can also expect to get significant purchase on his bouncer, which he often produces with surprising lift despite standing at only 1.78m.

The traditionally hard, fast and bouncy South African pitches will have the trio of Indian quicks licking their lips at the prospect of bowling to the Proteas' humble batting line-up.

But if the Indian seamers struggle, the brilliant and experienced spinning maestro Ashwin is in the squad to add balance and variation for captain Kohli. Everywhere the Proteas batters look, there is quality Indian bowling to overcome.

South Africa’s brittle batting

In contrast with the Indian team, the core of the Proteas team that took part in the 2018 Freedom Trophy has had an almost complete makeover.

The Proteas’ middle order at that time consisted of stalwarts Hashim Amla, AB de Villiers and Faf du Plessis, all of whom have retired in some form and are unavailable for current selection.

This time around the South African batting line-up, particularly the middle order, will have a lot less international experience.

The selectors remained consistent when South Africa faced the West Indies in a two-match Test series in June 2021. The Proteas had the same batting line-up and order in the three innings they batted, in the Caribbean.

Captain Dean Elgar opened alongside regular partner Aiden Markram. Keegan Petersen, playing his debut series, came in at number three. Rassie van der Dussen batted at four while Kyle Verreynne, who also made his debut in the first Test, came in at five. Quinton de Kock rounded up the top six.

No batter in the Proteas’ current squad averages more than 40 runs an innings, which should be a real worry for coach Mark Boucher. The two batters who come closest are the likely openers for the incoming tour – Captain Elgar at 39.5 and Markram at 39.6.

Petersen is likely to reprise his role at number three. His first taste of test cricket was not a welcoming one as the diminutive batter averaged 14.7 across the two matches, a long way from his domestic first-class average of 40.7. There are big expectations on 28-year-old Petersen’s shoulders, who had his breakthrough season in 2018/19 when he scored 923 runs at an average of 61 in the domestic four-day competition. However, Petersen will face perhaps his toughest challenge in the form of India’s formidable bowling line-up. This series will be an opportunity to assess whether Petersen is able to adapt to cricket at the highest level.

Van der Dussen’s role in stabilising South Africa’s innings in the middle order has been of such importance in recent years that it is often easy to forget how inexperienced he is. He has played only 10 tests and boasts a respectable batting average of 38.1.

He also has not been able to settle at one position. Van der Dussen has mostly batted at number three where he averages 38.6. However, his recent success in the Caribbean, batting at number four and averaging 62.5, will possibly see him retain the position often occupied by the best batter in the test team.

Dean Elgar of South Africa during day two of the second Test against Sri Lanka at the Wanderers in Johannesburg on 4 January 2021. (Photo: Sydney Seshibedi/Gallo Images/Getty Images)