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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The fifth wave, driven by the BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants of Omicron, was also the smallest so far in terms of infections. At its peak there were </span><a href=\"https://theoutlier.co.za/covid-19/81382/covid-19-sa-vaccination-tracker\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7,685 new cases</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> reported on 11 May. This is about a third of the peak during the Omicron-driven fourth wave, during which </span><a href=\"https://theoutlier.co.za/covid-19/81382/covid-19-sa-vaccination-tracker\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20,638 new cases</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> were reported on 18 December.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite the boom in cases it sparked in December, Omicron was shown to </span><a href=\"https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(22)00017-4/fulltext\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">cause less-severe disease</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> compared with other </span><a href=\"https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/omicron-variant.html#:~:text=Omicron%20infection%20generally%20causes%20less,the%20infection%20with%20this%20variant.\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">variants of concern</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, such as </span><a href=\"https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240051829\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Delta</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> which drove South Africa’s third wave. Omicron marked a shift in the trend with its faster peak and fewer hospital admissions, as shown in </span><a href=\"https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(22)00114-0/fulltext\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South African data</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> published in </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Lancet Global Health </span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">on 18 May.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here’s where South Africa is at right now: the recent wave was driven by less-intimidating and deadly </span><a href=\"https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Update-of-SA-sequencing-data-from-GISAID-3-June-2022.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">variants</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and the country ended its </span><a href=\"https://www.thepresidency.gov.za/speeches/statement-president-cyril-ramaphosa-termination-national-state-disaster-response-covid-19-pandemic\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">state of disaster</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in April. There are also high levels of immunity both from </span><a href=\"https://sacoronavirus.co.za/latest-vaccine-statistics/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">vaccination</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and previous infection, with blood donor data showing as many as </span><a href=\"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-1687679/v2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">87% of people in South Africa</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> have been exposed to SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes Covid-19.</span>\r\n<h4>Still more to learn: how to spot a trend</h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, does all this mean that it’s time to let go of the remaining pandemic restrictions?</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1294795\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/MC-Masks-Aisha_1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"481\" /> A vaccination site in Khayelitsha, Cape Town. (Photo: Nasief Manie / Spotlight)</p>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The answer is not yet, says Professor Barry Schoub, chairperson of the Ministerial Advisory Committee on Covid-19 vaccines. As he explains, it’s still too early to make any assumptions about what this virus could look like in the future.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“We can’t base our predictions just on Omicron,” says Schoub. “It’s too premature. Once we get to a period of time where we’ve got a better handle on the potential of this virus, then we can start relaxing [safety measures] but I think it’s too early at this stage. I think we’re still in a transitional phase.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Getting a handle on the virus, according to Schoub, means understanding what this bug is capable of – how it can evolve and change to outsmart the body’s natural defences, and how serious the disease it causes can be. He estimates we could know as soon as six months or a year from now.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But until then, the country needs to be ready to continue certain protocols including wearing masks indoors and getting vaccinated.</span>\r\n<h4>Can we go back to normal now?</h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Two years on, the one thing we can learn to appreciate is that context is everything.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Curbing the risk to people’s health has come at a high cost to their lives and this needs to be balanced, argues Schoub. In between waves, when the risk is lower, there is no harm in relaxing some restrictions, which has been happening already.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While we continue to assess the virus, Schoub advocates for the continued use of masks indoors and limiting the size of gatherings, particularly where there is little ventilation and the virus can spread rapidly.</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1294796\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/MC-Masks-Aisha_2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"360\" /> Enthusiasm for mask-wearing has dropped since April 2021. (Photo: Deon Ferreira)</p>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In this way, policies can help balance people’s desire to return to pre-pandemic life while helping retain steps that can help them stay safe as the virus continues to circulate.</span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/335820/WHO-EURO-2020-1160-40906-55390-eng.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pandemic fatigue</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is also a very real concern – where people are simply tired of hearing about or dealing with Covid and are less likely </span><a href=\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140673621006322#bib46\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to adhere to safety measures</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While people tend to be on high alert during a wave, their willingness to continue precautions drops almost immediately afterwards. The most </span><a href=\"https://www.hst.org.za/publications/South%20African%20Health%20Reviews/SAHR21_WEB_NoBlank_sm_24022022_OD.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">recent South African Health Review</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> found that mask uptake increased substantially from May 2020 to May 2021 – from just more than half to 83% of all adults. It found that despite initial differences between areas, once the second wave hit at the start of 2021, everyone became more compliant. However, enthusiasm for masks </span><a href=\"https://www.hst.org.za/publications/South%20African%20Health%20Reviews/SAHR21_WEB_NoBlank_sm_24022022_OD.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">dropped back down by April 2021</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To accommodate this, we could begin to “give people a break during periods of low transmission,” says Professor Koleka Mlisana, who co-chairs the Ministerial Advisory Committee.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The trouble in switching to situation-dependent measures is whether they’ll be enforceable, she warns.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“When you tell people don’t wear masks outside but put them back on when you’re inside, then there’s always a concern about how to maintain that switching on and off,” Mlisana explains. “Then if there’s a new variant, how do we bring it back?”</span>\r\n<h4>Masks up, down, or on the ground?</h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even if the decision is driven by where South Africa is in its epidemic, masks will still be around in some contexts, </span><a href=\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7883189/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">because they work</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In July 2021, a review of the evidence on masks for Covid-19 was </span><a href=\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0196655320310439\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">published in the </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">American Journal of Infection Control</span></i></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. The researchers evaluated six different studies and found that masks helped protect people from getting Covid. In fact, the role of masks was most apparent in healthcare workers, lowering the risk of infection by almost 70%.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Not all masks offer the same protection, however.</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1294797\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/MC-Masks-Aisha_3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" /> Discarded masks, gloves and other medical waste. (Photo: Black Star / Spotlight)</p>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">An N95 mask, for example, is secure, filters extremely tiny particles and offers the best protection. It’s also more difficult to find. Although </span><a href=\"https://www.cmaj.ca/content/188/8/567?fbclid=IwAR34vdMwRdAYOOpRLAVmRXSq4Qdjg7_nY3L9OImgvLOcGM3NFPkhCCXeXpA\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">evidence</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> suggests that, comparatively, there isn’t much difference when it comes to </span><a href=\"https://www.cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.1002/14651858.CD006207.pub5/full\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">surgical masks</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which can be bought at a pharmacy.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the bottom of the pecking order, cloth masks don’t do much air-filtering. A December 2020 paper published in </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">JAMA Internal Medicine</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> found that their filtration efficiency </span><a href=\"https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2774266?resultClick=1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">varied from 25% to 79%</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, depending on the material and the number of layers. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In South Africa, though, it’s simply not practical to expect everyone to have surgical-grade masks, let alone an N95, says Mlisana.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Think of it like a loaf of bread. I’d rather give someone half a load than none at all. It’s the same with masks – some protection is better than nothing. I would not want us to completely do away with masks just because not everybody can afford even a surgical mask.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, from Mlisana’s point of view, if all you have is a fabric face covering, you should continue to use it.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Not everyone is on the same page, though.</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1294800\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/MC-Masks-Aisha_4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"425\" /> We need to improve the safety of our shared air, especially in crowded settings. (Photo: iStock)</p>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Professor Robin Wood, an infectious disease specialist and emeritus professor at the University of Cape Town, says we would do better to do away with masks altogether, given that some have little value, especially if worn incorrectly.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“The mask is trying to decrease a person’s exposure to infectious particles but how much it does so will depend on the quality of the mask,” says Wood. “The time you spend in an environment is also a factor because if you’re somewhere for a very long time then the mask isn’t going to make any difference.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That said, Wood acknowledges that masks are “particularly important for limited exposures” and that they have the most value in healthcare settings.</span>\r\n<h4>It goes hand in hand: relearning about clean air</h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It’s not all bad news, though. As we learn more, there are some things that can safely be left behind and other lessons to keep.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“One of the lessons that I would want people to remember is that ventilation is an important factor,” says Wood.</span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK143277/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ventilation</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> helps keep the air in a room clean and healthy. This is achieved by bringing air from outdoors into a building or room air and making sure the air is circulating properly within an enclosed space. You can properly ventilate a space through design, like including windows, or through machines, like fans in air ducts.</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1294801\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/MC-Masks-Aisha_5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" /> Gauteng social development MEC Morakane Mosupyoe screens staff at MC Weiller Primary School in Alexandra. Some experts agree that temperature screening does not serve any meaningful purpose in preventing Covid-19. (Photo: Elmond Jiyane / GCIS)</p>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“When you have crowded areas,” Wood says, “you’re essentially coming down to how much air people are swapping between themselves. People in more urban settings would probably swap about 20l of air a day, people living in crowded townships swap about 40l to 100l per day, and people in prisons are probably swapping 2,000l a day.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Increasing airflow in spaces like that then becomes critical, not just for Covid but also for preventing the spread of other diseases. This isn’t just for buildings but also applies to enclosed spaces, such as buses and other forms of public transport.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“We need to relearn this, buildings aren’t designed on the basis of health and that needs to change,” Wood says. “We should be improving those sorts of environmental factors, especially where there are crowds.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But that’s not a process that can happen overnight because buildings can’t immediately be changed to create more ventilation.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For this reason, Mlisana emphasises that “when we talk about mask-wearing, it always has to go with the poorly ventilated buildings we have”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“We need more open space because we don’t have that much, and to find a way to improve the ventilation of our buildings,” she says.</span>\r\n<h4>It’s time for some measures to go</h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Not all prevention measures are worth sticking to. The experts interviewed by </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Spotlight</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> were broadly in agreement about the following advice.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One of the first measures that should go is temperature screening. Those infrared guns that are pointed at your forehead or hand at a shop or building entrance </span><a href=\"https://academic.oup.com/ofid/article/8/1/ofaa603/6032722\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">aren’t giving any useful information about your body temperature</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. They don’t serve a purpose and aren’t helping.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Next is sanitiser. There’s no need to be sanitising your packages or even getting a routine chemical spray every time you walk into a shop. The virus is more likely to spread from one person to another than it is to launch a sneak attack from your vegetables. It’s highly unlikely that you’re going to get Covid from touching a doorknob because the virus </span><a href=\"https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30561-2/fulltext\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">doesn’t seem to last that long on surfaces</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. This means we don’t need to do deep cleaning, but it may still be the next best option to consider </span><a href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-00251-4\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">in places without good ventilation</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hand-washing is a totally different ball game and a valuable exercise when it comes to general hygiene. Regularly washing your hands </span><a href=\"https://www.cdc.gov/handwashing/why-handwashing.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">helps kill germs and protects you from any number of diseases</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1294802\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/MC-Masks-Aisha_6.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"424\" /> Although deep cleaning of surfaces is no longer needed to prevent Covid-19, hand washing remains a must to prevent diseases from spreading. (Photo: Waldo Swiegers / Bloomberg via Getty Images)</p>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Keeping your distance from others, on the other hand, all depends on the time and place. </span><a href=\"https://africacdc.org/download/guidance-on-community-social-distancing-during-covid-19-outbreak/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Physical distancing</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is all about limiting contact with other people. The practice has its </span><a href=\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122030655X\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">pros</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, particularly in crowded and poorly ventilated indoor areas. The con is that it can lead to isolation and take a toll on people’s </span><a href=\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352827321002925\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">mental health</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As with everything, it comes down to evaluating personal risk. During periods when the virus is spreading, perhaps take a rain check on going to a large event, but between waves, if you’re taking the necessary precautions, you should be okay to attend that dinner party.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The take-home message: Do what you can to stay safe. Get vaccinated, wear a mask indoors and if you want to be around people, it’s better to do so outdoors where there’s lots of fresh air. If you have to meet indoors, try to keep windows and doors open as much as possible.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mlisana cautions: “We really are not over Covid because we still see these blips and we still need to gain more understanding of what they mean, particularly in the long term.” </span><b>DM/MC</b>\r\n\r\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This article was published by </span></i><a href=\"https://www.spotlightnsp.co.za/2022/06/14/covid-19-what-role-for-masks-sanitising-and-ventilation-in-the-new-normal/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Spotlight</span></a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> – health journalism in the public interest.</span></i>\r\n\r\n<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-540125\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/spotlight.png\" alt=\"Spotlight logo\" width=\"720\" height=\"169\" />",
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"summary": "South Africa’s fifth wave of Covid-19 infections is comparatively small and is already abating. As with the fourth wave, infection was much less likely to result in hospital admission or death than in the first three waves. In light of these changes in the pandemic, Aisha Abdool Karim asks what the ‘new normal’ should look like when it comes to mask-wearing, ventilation, hand sanitising and other preventative measures.",
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