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South Africa

Months of ‘intensified’ rolling blackouts coming, says Ramokgopa – and we’re stuck with Stage 6 for the week

With an increase in planned maintenance over the coming months, intense load shedding will be a ‘short-term pain’ but there will be ‘long-term gain’, says Electricity Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa.
Months of ‘intensified’ rolling blackouts coming, says Ramokgopa – and we’re stuck with Stage 6 for the week

Electricity Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa said on Tuesday “there will be no shortcut to the ending of load shedding”, amid rolling Stage 6 power cuts which are likely to continue for the rest of the week. 

The minister was briefing the media on the performance of the national grid on Tuesday morning, after the intensification of power cuts by Eskom

South Africa was plunged into Stage 6 blackouts on Monday evening, after an increase in planned maintenance and the breakdown of generating units led to generation capacity constraints. 

Read more in Daily Maverick: SA implements Stage 6 load shedding ‘until further notice’

Ramokgopa said Eskom had begun to ramp up planned maintenance, “to build a degree of resilience in the system”, after it had been lowered during winter due to increased demand for electricity. He said that part of the reason Eskom has seen a deterioration in generating capacity is that it had not been sticking to performing planned maintenance over the years. 

“We are going to stick to planned maintenance, we’re going to stick to philosophy maintenance. We do accept that, in the short-term, it’s going to result in the possibility of intensified load shedding. 

Something had to give and what was being compromised over that period was our investment in maintenance, and that has caught up with us.

“I’m saying possibility because, if that ramped-up planned maintenance… is accompanied by unplanned capacity loss factor – that is the other units that are tripping – then it means there will be an intensification of load shedding. Which is essentially the situation that we find ourselves in,” said Ramokgopa. 

Over time Eskom’s generating units have been exploited because of a lack of investment in planned maintenance, owing to the utility’s balance sheet being “severely compromised”, he said. 

“What has helped us a lot is the fiscal injection from National Treasury. Now, [we] have a degree of wiggle room from a financing and a funding point of view, to be able to direct a significant amount of resources towards maintenance. 

“Previously with that constrained balance sheet… Something had to give and what was being compromised over that period was our investment in maintenance, and that has caught up with us,” he said. 

Read more in Daily Maverick: Government’s debt relief for Eskom gives power utility some breathing space

Eskom’s head of generation, Bheki Nxumalo, said Stage 6 load shedding is likely to continue for the rest of the week, and be eased off towards the weekend, as some units begin to return to service.  

“Towards the end of this week we should be in a position to start reducing the stages from the current Stage 6 and… we would’ve recovered as well on our [pump storage] reserves,” he said.

In response to questions about the resurgence of higher stages of power cuts after the BRICS Summit last month, Nxumalo said Eskom did not “run the units harder for BRICS” in an effort to ease load shedding over that period.

“We don’t plan around events, we plan around the system and what is required,” he said. DM

Comments (4)

Chris Orr Sep 8, 2023, 05:09 AM

Why has this maintenance been left so late? The ANC government was warned of this years ago and told to keep up with appropriate maintenance schedules. Shame on them for leaving SA in such a mess. Shame, shame, shame!

Philip Machanick Sep 7, 2023, 09:53 PM

Does anyone remember the bizarre claim that when cold weather set in, there would be no problem? Unless something had been done to address the underlying issues how could that be true? The only way that could work would be if maintenance was neglected and that has to catch up with you. So no big surprise. Until the fundamental problems are addressed, any short-term wins are unlikely to last. If you can afford it get solar and batteries. But do your homework and get a good system, properly installed.

gfogell Sep 7, 2023, 11:03 AM

"Over time Eskom’s generating units have been exploited because of a lack of investment in planned maintenance, owing to the utility’s balance sheet being “severely compromised”, he said. " And who did this to South Africa? This must be laid squarely at the ruling party's door. It started long before the 9 wasted years under Zuma, when the need for additional power capacity was raised by the then experts but ignored by government. And then it intensified with the eye of ESKOM executives being kept on the EAF statistics rather than carrying out planned maintenance that would have impacted those numbers. And then there was the loss of skilled staff as the result of cadre deployment. Let's get real. Load shedding will be with us through next year as well. Living in Cape Town, we have lower levels because of a well-managed city which is actively cutting red tape to get solar onto people's roofs - our complex has just installed 72 kWp to reduce our load on the city grid and storage to keep critical services running in our blocks - and the Province adding renewables as quickly as possible to supplement baseload support.

mongetane Sep 6, 2023, 05:46 PM

What a total load of rubbish once more! Eskom tactics are banana ? republic - Eskom is not fit for purpose.. ?