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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In some ways, Namibia’s recent history has been a dress rehearsal of South Africa’s. In 1990, South West Africa, as it was called then, became independent of the South African National Party’s apartheid government, ushering in a Swapo (South West Africa People’s Organisation) government. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That prefigured the South African majority’s emancipation from that same government in 1994, which brought Swapo’s liberation movement ally, the African National Congress (ANC), to power.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now Namibia is about to begin its biggest corruption trial — of the ‘Fishrot’ 10. It will inevitably be examined for possible precedents across the border in South Africa’s protracted State Capture saga. In both scandals, the allegations go right to the top. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, will the big fish finally get their just deserts? Or will they be the ones that get away? And what impact will these major corruption scandals have on the two ruling parties’ grip on power?</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 10 former politicians, businessmen, and lawyers stand accused of bribery and corruption for siphoning off millions of dollars from Namibia’s fishing industry. Fishcor, Namibia’s state-owned fishing company, allegedly transferred fishing quotas from private Namibian companies to other local companies in which the politicians involved had interests. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These latter companies were affiliated to Iceland’s largest fishing corporation Samherji, which allegedly paid about $10-million in bribes to Swapo leaders for preferential access to Namibia’s rich fishing waters. Samherji allegedly also used other dodges to avoid paying taxes in Namibia by registering its operations in tax havens like Mauritius and Cyprus, investigative reporters found. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So just about everyone got a cut of the Fishrot pie. Except for ordinary Namibians. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Former fisheries minister Bernardt Esau, former justice minister Sakeus Shanghala, former Fishcor board chairman James Hatuikulipi, ex-Fishcor CEO Mike Nghipunya, and five other senior officials or business executives will stand trial after their current bail hearings. A 10th suspect, lawyer Marén de Klerk, has been charged but fled to South Africa from where Namibia is battling to extradite him. All have denied guilt. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">They were netted through a WikiLeaks trove of more than 30,000 documents, including internal emails, provided by former Samherji employee-turned-whistleblower Johannes Stefansson.</span>\r\n\r\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Al-Jazeera</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> conducted an </span><a href=\"https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/4/2/namibian-president-caught-in-new-fishing-corruption-allegations\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">investigation</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in 2019 in which its journalists posed as Chinese investors trying to win fishing quotas. Esau was filmed requesting a donation to Swapo’s coffers of $200,000 from the fake investors. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Esau and Shanghala resigned from the cabinet, and Hatuikulipi resigned as Fishcor chairman soon after the exposures. Samherji CEO Thorsteinn Mar Baldvinsson stepped </span><a href=\"https://www.seafoodsource.com/news/business-finance/samherji-ceo-steps-aside-amid-pending-corruption-investigations\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">aside</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in Iceland pending an independent investigation.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The whole Fishrot scandal surfaced just before Namibia’s general </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2019-11-26-namibias-swapo-battling-the-elements/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">elections</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on 27 November 2019. On that day, the last of the accused was arrested. The timing inevitably led to accusations that the exposé had been manipulated to damage the ruling party — which it did. As </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Republikein</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> news editor Ronelle Rademeyer told </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ISS Today</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, votes for President Hage Geingob plummeted from 87% in the 2014 elections to just over 56% in 2019, the lowest majority by any president since independence. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Swapo took a smaller cut of 14% down to 65.45%, losing its two-thirds majority in the National Assembly for the first time. Rademeyer notes that Swapo also lost its dominance in the 2020 local authority elections. “I think the Fishrot scandal definitely impacted on the decline in votes for Swapo, but there were also a number of other factors such as non-delivery on promises to uplift people from poverty, creating jobs, building houses, etc.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meanwhile, in South Africa, the ANC also took big hits in the 2019 general elections and the 2016 and 2021 local government polls after revelations of gross corruption and state capture during Jacob Zuma’s presidency. The country now waits to see if the Zondo Commission findings will lead to </span><a href=\"https://issafrica.org/iss-today/making-zondos-findings-count-is-not-governments-job-alone\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">prosecutions</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of top politicians, officials and CEOs. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Back in Namibia, questions are still being asked about how far up the political hierarchy Fishrot extends and whether a bigger head — that of Geingob himself — will roll. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to investigative paper </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Namibian</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and the Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project (OCCRP) in December 2016, Shanghala, then attorney general, and Hatuikulipi, Fishcor chairperson, cooked up another scheme at Cape Town’s Waterfront. This was with Adriaan Louw, a Namibian businessman who owned a company called African Selection Fishing.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The </span><a href=\"https://www.occrp.org/en/investigations/fishing-with-dynamite-the-secret-scheme-that-helped-namibias-president-stay-in-power\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">exposé</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> alleges that the men — who have all denied wrongdoing — set up several Swapo-controlled companies that received nearly $4.5-million skimmed from a $637-million fishing deal between Fishcor and African Selection Fishing. Some of this money was allegedly used in a campaign to buy votes for Geingob ahead of Swapo’s 2017 elective congress.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Whoever was chosen was virtually guaranteed to win the election,” says the OCCRP/</span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The</span></i> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Namibian</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> report. “But with Namibia reeling from a devastating drought and an economic crisis that had sent youth unemployment soaring, Geingob, who had first been elected in 2014, was facing strong opposition within his own party.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This late chapter in the Fishrot saga will also echo in the ears of South Africans. They will recall the vote-buying allegations surrounding the ANC’s 2017 elective conference, which will undoubtedly surface again at this year’s December conference.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In both countries, the real </span><a href=\"https://issafrica.org/research/southern-africa-report/the-anc-and-south-africa-visions-of-the-future\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">contest</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for power has been, and at least for now remains, within the ruling party. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Will these latest revelations topple Geingob? Gwen Lister, founder and former editor of </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Namibian</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, thinks not. “Fishrot has definitely dented Swapo’s support base,” she told </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ISS Today</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. “Geingob is intact, though, till the end of his second term as Namibian president.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And will the fishing industry change? In The Namibia Media Trust’s </span><a href=\"https://soundcloud.com/nmt_freespeak/s2-9-fishrot-how-it-all-started?utm_campaign=social_sharing&utm_source=mobi\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">podcast</span></a> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Free Speak</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, Icelandic investigative journalist Helgi Seljan said Fishrot was a “classic case of state looting.” Samherji had paid as little as half of its fishing proceeds to the state and the rest to the crooked “sharks,” he said, leaving mere morsels for the masses. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lister noted that the Namibian fishing industry had been restructured after independence to benefit the country’s population, especially the poor, which it did until the Fishrot crooks got hold of it. Seljan noted that in Iceland, the government had shaken up the fishing industry after Fishrot, introducing new measures to secure it from future corruption. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are no signs of restructuring in Namibia, suggesting that, as </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Namibian</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> investigative journalist Shinovene Immanuel put it, the whole saga will probably be recycled in future. Another precedent for South Africa perhaps, as the ANC continues to deploy its cadres into the state-owned enterprises at the heart of state capture. </span><b>DM</b>\r\n\r\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Peter Fabricius, Consultant, Institute for Security Studies (ISS) Pretoria.</span></i>\r\n\r\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First published by </span></i><a href=\"https://issafrica.org/iss-today\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ISS Today</span></i></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>",
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