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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As outgoing World Rugby Chairman Bill Beaumont contemplates retirement and the state of the game, it is curious that of all the things wrong with rugby, he chose the one thing they’re getting right to bemoan.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Beaumont, in a recent</span><a href=\"https://www.thetimes.com/article/e7208e66-0578-4aba-8060-131a528822da\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">interview in The Times</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, said he believes the game has too many substitutes. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Beaumont pointedly singled out the Springboks’ famed “bomb squad”, the first team to introduce six forwards among the replacements. The Boks have even gone as far as using seven forwards.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The laws of the game don’t prescribe the make-up of the bench, other than that a specialist prop and hooker must be included among the eight reserves. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“My view is that we allow too many substitutes,” Beaumont told The Times.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“I don’t know if I’m looking through rose-coloured spectacles but in years gone by the game always opened up in the last 20 minutes, and games were often won in the last 20 minutes.”</span>\r\n<blockquote><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Two subs makes it lower still, compared to two starters (or fatigued players). So, risk comes down with subs, it doesn’t go up” — Ross Tucker</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span></blockquote>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Off the top of my head, the Boks won both Tests against the All Blacks this year, with scores in the last quarter. And in 2023, the Boks came back to beat both France and England in the Rugby World Cup quarter and semifinals in the last 15 minutes.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And I’m fairly sure that if we went through multiple games from any of the last five years, you’ll see many of them won by a team coming from behind to win in the last quarter, despite the amount or subs.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“The bomb squad are very effective at what they (South Africa) do, and very successful — they have won two World Cups. I will not criticise that at all because it suits their game,” Beaumont said, before offering some criticism, disguised as fatherly advice.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“But maybe they could run for a bit longer and a bit further,” he suggested.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What does “run for a bit longer and further” even mean in the modern game? </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It’s staggering to think that Beaumont, who has presided during a period when rugby is facing huge crises because of concussion-related legal action, inconsistent officiating, dithering over red card laws, and financial instability at most of its prominent members, believes the increase of replacements is a major regret.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are many other hills to die on.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-2426644 size-full\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2160856671.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1145\" /> <em>Bill Beaumont watches Jessica Bouzas Maneiro of Spain during her match against Marketa Vondrousova of Czech Republic in the Ladies' Singles first-round match at Wimbledon 2024 on 2 July 2024 in London. (Photo: Visionhaus/Getty Images)</em></p>\r\n<h4><b>First used</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The bomb squad was first used by Rassie Erasmus and the Boks in 2019. Grumbling started then. But When the Boks went further and used a 7/1 split against the All Blacks in London last August as</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-08-26-brutal-boks-hand-all-blacks-heaviest-ever-test-defeat-at-twickenham-to-make-rwc-statement/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">they thrashed them 35-7</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, it led to outcry from some sectors of the sport.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Flank Kwagga Smith was deployed as a seventh forward in that match because of the late withdrawal of fullback Willie le Roux.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Smith was a Sevens star with the Blitzboks, winning a Commonwealth Games gold medal, an Olympic bronze and two World Sevens Series titles. He’s actually a forward in a back’s body.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At 94kg, Smith is lighter than centres </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">André</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Esterhuizen, Jesse Kriel, Damian de Allende and flyhalf Handr</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">é</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Pollard.</span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more:</b> <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-08-31-brilliant-bomb-squad-powers-boks-to-dramatic-win-over-all-blacks-in-seething-atmosphere/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Brilliant bomb squad powers Boks to dramatic win over All Blacks in seething atmosphere</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Matt Williams, a former Scotland coach, was incensed by a coaching decision well within the laws that came with more inherent risk for the Boks than it did for the All Blacks.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“South Africa are just abusing the bench at the moment,” Williams said on the </span><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JyzaQyZb1us\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Off The Ball podcast</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at the time.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He said the bench was designed for “safety reasons, so that people didn’t come on in positions they weren’t trained for, so we didn’t have injuries”.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“World Rugby must act on this; the way you deal with this is, say, you have to have three backs on the bench.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So by that logic, Franco Mostert who is a lock, must not be considered as a flank. Damian Willemse can play in multiple positions across the backline. Must he only be allowed to play in one? Ditto Cheslin Kolbe, Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu and Canan Moodie.</span>\r\n\r\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-2265957 size-full\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/TL_2234943.jpg\" alt=\"Boks v Ireland\" width=\"1660\" height=\"944\" /> <em>Springbok coach Rassie Erasmus. (Photo: Gordon Arons/Gallo Images)</em></p>\r\n<h4><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><b>‘Fresher the player, lower the injury risk’</b> </span></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The original move to more reserves was for player welfare reasons. An increase in fatigue leads to an increase in injuries. Therefore the fresher the player, the slightly decreasing likelihood he/she would suffer a serious injury.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That’s not my take, by the way, but the outcome of World Rugby’s own study and conclusion on the issue. Professor Ross Tucker was a consultant, and he had this to say on his social media feed, in the days after the 7/1 split was first used.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“What the proponents for fewer subs are omitting, is the recognition that fatigue is itself a risk factor for injury,” stated Tucker, who has more credibility and knowledge on this issue than almost anyone.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“And so, subs, while introducing a set of risk factors (power, mass) are also mitigating a risk factor (fatigue).</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“There is likely a trade-off between these, and nobody yet knows how they interact. We do know that fatigue is a major risk, and in fact, we’ve just submitted a paper for review that shows that adding subs doesn’t increase risk, but may decrease it.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Analysis that is currently underway shows that when we look specifically at the tackle and ask how the addition of a sub (fresher player) to the tackle ‘relationship’ actually lowers the overall risk.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Two subs makes it lower still, compared to two starters (or fatigued players). So, risk comes down with subs, it doesn’t go up.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“But even within this, there is nuance. If you think of a tackle as a ‘dance’ involving two players, overall risk is slightly lower, or unaffected, when one is a sub and one is a starter, but within that dance, the more fatigued player has more risk than the fresher player.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“It is true that the arrival of fresh players at say, minute 50, increases risk to players who’ve been on since minute zero. But overall risk is still lower (or the same, depending on some details). So, is it true to say: ‘subs increase injury risk’? No, overall, they reduce it.”</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That’s the conclusion of an eminent scholar at the coalface of the debate.</span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more:</b> <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-09-01-gutsy-springboks-fielding-produced-sports-most-talked-about-7-1-since-germany-thrashed-brazil/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gutsy Springboks selection produced sports’ most talked about 7-1 since Germany thrashed Brazil</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There might be scope for a debate on the number of substitutes if the trade-off against player welfare is marginal. But to reverse the policy on the basis of one team’s application of the laws, is ludicrous.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If World Rugby are considering an about-turn on the number of subs/reserves, they’d better be clear about why they’d do it. Because Beaumont’s reasoning has zero to do with player welfare.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And as for improving the game “because it will be more open” in the final quarter, well, that is just a rose-tinted view.</span><b> DM</b>",
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"description": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As outgoing World Rugby Chairman Bill Beaumont contemplates retirement and the state of the game, it is curious that of all the things wrong with rugby, he chose the one thing they’re getting right to bemoan.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Beaumont, in a recent</span><a href=\"https://www.thetimes.com/article/e7208e66-0578-4aba-8060-131a528822da\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">interview in The Times</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, said he believes the game has too many substitutes. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Beaumont pointedly singled out the Springboks’ famed “bomb squad”, the first team to introduce six forwards among the replacements. The Boks have even gone as far as using seven forwards.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The laws of the game don’t prescribe the make-up of the bench, other than that a specialist prop and hooker must be included among the eight reserves. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“My view is that we allow too many substitutes,” Beaumont told The Times.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“I don’t know if I’m looking through rose-coloured spectacles but in years gone by the game always opened up in the last 20 minutes, and games were often won in the last 20 minutes.”</span>\r\n<blockquote><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Two subs makes it lower still, compared to two starters (or fatigued players). So, risk comes down with subs, it doesn’t go up” — Ross Tucker</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span></blockquote>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Off the top of my head, the Boks won both Tests against the All Blacks this year, with scores in the last quarter. And in 2023, the Boks came back to beat both France and England in the Rugby World Cup quarter and semifinals in the last 15 minutes.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And I’m fairly sure that if we went through multiple games from any of the last five years, you’ll see many of them won by a team coming from behind to win in the last quarter, despite the amount or subs.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“The bomb squad are very effective at what they (South Africa) do, and very successful — they have won two World Cups. I will not criticise that at all because it suits their game,” Beaumont said, before offering some criticism, disguised as fatherly advice.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“But maybe they could run for a bit longer and a bit further,” he suggested.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What does “run for a bit longer and further” even mean in the modern game? </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It’s staggering to think that Beaumont, who has presided during a period when rugby is facing huge crises because of concussion-related legal action, inconsistent officiating, dithering over red card laws, and financial instability at most of its prominent members, believes the increase of replacements is a major regret.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are many other hills to die on.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_2426644\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"2048\"]<img class=\"wp-image-2426644 size-full\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2160856671.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1145\" /> <em>Bill Beaumont watches Jessica Bouzas Maneiro of Spain during her match against Marketa Vondrousova of Czech Republic in the Ladies' Singles first-round match at Wimbledon 2024 on 2 July 2024 in London. (Photo: Visionhaus/Getty Images)</em>[/caption]\r\n<h4><b>First used</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The bomb squad was first used by Rassie Erasmus and the Boks in 2019. Grumbling started then. But When the Boks went further and used a 7/1 split against the All Blacks in London last August as</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-08-26-brutal-boks-hand-all-blacks-heaviest-ever-test-defeat-at-twickenham-to-make-rwc-statement/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">they thrashed them 35-7</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, it led to outcry from some sectors of the sport.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Flank Kwagga Smith was deployed as a seventh forward in that match because of the late withdrawal of fullback Willie le Roux.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Smith was a Sevens star with the Blitzboks, winning a Commonwealth Games gold medal, an Olympic bronze and two World Sevens Series titles. He’s actually a forward in a back’s body.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At 94kg, Smith is lighter than centres </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">André</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Esterhuizen, Jesse Kriel, Damian de Allende and flyhalf Handr</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">é</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Pollard.</span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more:</b> <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-08-31-brilliant-bomb-squad-powers-boks-to-dramatic-win-over-all-blacks-in-seething-atmosphere/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Brilliant bomb squad powers Boks to dramatic win over All Blacks in seething atmosphere</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Matt Williams, a former Scotland coach, was incensed by a coaching decision well within the laws that came with more inherent risk for the Boks than it did for the All Blacks.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“South Africa are just abusing the bench at the moment,” Williams said on the </span><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JyzaQyZb1us\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Off The Ball podcast</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at the time.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He said the bench was designed for “safety reasons, so that people didn’t come on in positions they weren’t trained for, so we didn’t have injuries”.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“World Rugby must act on this; the way you deal with this is, say, you have to have three backs on the bench.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So by that logic, Franco Mostert who is a lock, must not be considered as a flank. Damian Willemse can play in multiple positions across the backline. Must he only be allowed to play in one? Ditto Cheslin Kolbe, Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu and Canan Moodie.</span>\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_2265957\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"1660\"]<img class=\"wp-image-2265957 size-full\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/TL_2234943.jpg\" alt=\"Boks v Ireland\" width=\"1660\" height=\"944\" /> <em>Springbok coach Rassie Erasmus. (Photo: Gordon Arons/Gallo Images)</em>[/caption]\r\n<h4><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><b>‘Fresher the player, lower the injury risk’</b> </span></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The original move to more reserves was for player welfare reasons. An increase in fatigue leads to an increase in injuries. Therefore the fresher the player, the slightly decreasing likelihood he/she would suffer a serious injury.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That’s not my take, by the way, but the outcome of World Rugby’s own study and conclusion on the issue. Professor Ross Tucker was a consultant, and he had this to say on his social media feed, in the days after the 7/1 split was first used.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“What the proponents for fewer subs are omitting, is the recognition that fatigue is itself a risk factor for injury,” stated Tucker, who has more credibility and knowledge on this issue than almost anyone.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“And so, subs, while introducing a set of risk factors (power, mass) are also mitigating a risk factor (fatigue).</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“There is likely a trade-off between these, and nobody yet knows how they interact. We do know that fatigue is a major risk, and in fact, we’ve just submitted a paper for review that shows that adding subs doesn’t increase risk, but may decrease it.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Analysis that is currently underway shows that when we look specifically at the tackle and ask how the addition of a sub (fresher player) to the tackle ‘relationship’ actually lowers the overall risk.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Two subs makes it lower still, compared to two starters (or fatigued players). So, risk comes down with subs, it doesn’t go up.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“But even within this, there is nuance. If you think of a tackle as a ‘dance’ involving two players, overall risk is slightly lower, or unaffected, when one is a sub and one is a starter, but within that dance, the more fatigued player has more risk than the fresher player.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“It is true that the arrival of fresh players at say, minute 50, increases risk to players who’ve been on since minute zero. But overall risk is still lower (or the same, depending on some details). So, is it true to say: ‘subs increase injury risk’? No, overall, they reduce it.”</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That’s the conclusion of an eminent scholar at the coalface of the debate.</span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more:</b> <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-09-01-gutsy-springboks-fielding-produced-sports-most-talked-about-7-1-since-germany-thrashed-brazil/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gutsy Springboks selection produced sports’ most talked about 7-1 since Germany thrashed Brazil</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There might be scope for a debate on the number of substitutes if the trade-off against player welfare is marginal. But to reverse the policy on the basis of one team’s application of the laws, is ludicrous.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If World Rugby are considering an about-turn on the number of subs/reserves, they’d better be clear about why they’d do it. Because Beaumont’s reasoning has zero to do with player welfare.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And as for improving the game “because it will be more open” in the final quarter, well, that is just a rose-tinted view.</span><b> DM</b>",
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"summary": "The concept and implementation of the Springboks’ famed bomb squad has irritated the suits at World Rugby. There may be more to it.\r\n",
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