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"title": "Parly gaffes, inconsistencies cast shadows on SA official’s denials of Russian ‘prospecting’ in Antarctica",
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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dr Lisolomzi Fikizolo, South Africa’s top polar official, faced scrutiny during a briefing to Parliament’s environment committee on the country’s Antarctic operations — with </span><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zeoxq0uALo\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russia’s ship-based minerals \"research\" sorties through the Mother City</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> stealing the show.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-04-antarctic-oil-and-gas-hunt-you-just-get-this-rage-rising-in-you/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russian forays into Antarctica and the Southern Ocean</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are controversial due to potential exploitation concerns once the current mining ban, which has no expiry date, </span><a href=\"https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.4324/9781003404828-22/international-regulation-mineral-resources-activities-polar-regions-alan-hemmings-timo-koivurova\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">can be changed or lifted from 2048</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. This minerals “narrative”, however, was devoid of evidence, Fikizolo held firm in the June briefing, which has not been previously reported. South Africa had to allow “innocent passage” to Russian state ships “from the UN point of view”, he contended. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Africa, one among 29 decision-making states to the 1959 Antarctic Treaty, helps manage the Antarctic for demilitarised aims such as research and tourism, where heatwaves and this year’s unusually low sea ice have puzzled scientists. For instance, </span><a href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-023-00927-x\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">around 9,000 emperor penguin chicks</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from Bellingshausen Sea colonies are believed to have perished in November 2022. </span>\r\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\r\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">You’ve heard about Antarctic sea ice lows - well, here’s the consequences.</p>\r\nOver 9,000 emperor penguin chicks from colonies in the Bellingshausen Sea are thought to have died in November 2022.\r\n\r\nThe sea ice they lived on broke up early, before they'd developed waterproof feathers. <a href=\"https://t.co/0A4J3as44a\">pic.twitter.com/0A4J3as44a</a>\r\n\r\n— British Antarctic Survey ? (@BAS_News) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/BAS_News/status/1694726310139244570?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 24, 2023</a></blockquote>\r\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"></script>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As oceans and coasts head of the sole African decision-making state, Fikizolo is, therefore, Africa’s top polar official, and apparently tried sticking to a safe script during his presentation. South Africa maintained an East Antarctic research station and was committed to preserving the region’s unique character, he said. He had reaffirmed Antarctica’s decades-old mining ban alongside other decision-making states, including Russia, during the annual Antarctic Treaty meeting in May and June, hosted in Helsinki. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to the ban, </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“any activity relating to mineral resources, other than scientific research, shall be prohibited”. </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fikizolo said that extracting minerals would remain </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">verboten</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and “there is not going to be any mining research that is going to be allowed”. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Suggesting an investigation was necessary, DA committee members interrogated Fikizolo’s claims — such as that South Africa lacked access to evidence on the Russian activities. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“It has been allegations with no evidence,” Fikizolo said — although </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-14-helsinki-heatpocrisy-overlooked-russian-oil-gas-hunt-exposes-chinks-in-antarctic-climate-declaration/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">prominent Antarctic governance academia have disagreed</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, saying the “evidence” for “prospecting” is “clear”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These annual Russian missions have been carried out via Cape Town aboard an airgunned seismic ship belonging to the Kremlin’s minerals explorer, Rosgeo, even after the ban entered into force in 1998 under the Madrid Protocol, the treaty’s environmental constitution. The ban was signed in 1991.</span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Daily Maverick has reported on the ship’s movements</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and its findings, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-10-25-using-cape-town-as-a-launchpad-russia-boasts-of-supergiant-oil-fields-in-antarctic-wilderness/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">since October 2021</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. And, ironically, despite Fikizolo’s own denials, Russia </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-02-all-governments-know-russia-is-violating-iconic-antarctic-mining-ban/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">has not made a secret of its minerals investigations</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in the environmentally sensitive polar region. Instead, Rosgeo has contended that the activities </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">conform to the ban’s scientific “research” allowances</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. However, while </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">early-stage resource prospecting is argued to be outlawed</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and the line between prospecting and “scientific research” may seem obvious, the ban’s lack of clear definitions remains a topic of debate. </span>\r\n\r\n<iframe class=\"scribd_iframe_embed\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Rosgeo Comment\" src=\"https://www.scribd.com/embeds/667686763/content?start_page=1&view_mode=scroll&access_key=key-CjokSGouNIM6hnStJnkM\" width=\"100%\" height=\"600\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-auto-height=\"true\" data-aspect-ratio=\"0.7068965517241379\"></iframe>\r\n\r\n<em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In 2021, Rosgeo offered a substantive response, insisting that the exploration company and its subsidiary were interested only in non-commercial scientific inquiry and preserving the Antarctic as a 'nature reserve for peace and science'.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span></em>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yet, concerns hardly relate only to oil and gas.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rosgeo may have made unproven claims that there are <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-10-25-using-cape-town-as-a-launchpad-russia-boasts-of-supergiant-oil-fields-in-antarctic-wilderness/\">500 billion barrels of oil and gas</a> (15 times global annual oil consumption) beneath the Southern Ocean, but </span><a href=\"http://www.pmge.ru/index.php?id=118&lang=RUS\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">online reports by the company’s subsidiary</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> also describe a substantial inventory of minerals along 2.5 million km² of the East Antarctic’s Indian Ocean sector. From 2007 to 2017, for instance, Russian geologists have </span><a href=\"http://www.pmge.ru/index.php?id=118&lang=RUS\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">assessed potential so-called “raw materials” here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> — including gold, diamonds, copper-nickel, coal, iron ore, molybdenum and uranium.</span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As Russian academia have also told us</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, there is a “real” possibility that other countries are prospecting continental Antarctica. Yet, in 2016, the Rosgeo subsidiary openly claimed credit</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span><a href=\"http://pmge.ru/index.php?id=627&lang=RUS\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">for the “overwhelming majority” of work</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> needed to identify Antarctica’s potential supergiant oil fields. </span>\r\n<h4><b>‘Allegations’ — predetermined as ‘false’? </b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Responding to Fikizolo, DA committee member Hannah Winkler hit back. Would the national environment department, which employs Fikizolo, launch its “own investigation into [the Russian activities] to decide if there is any veracity to the claims?” </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“What sort of evidence is the South African government actually looking for?” Winkler asked. “Or have you already decided as a department in conjunction with the minister that the allegations are false?”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ANC, EFF and IFP members were also present in the briefing, but their enquiries focused on South Africa’s general Antarctic operations.</span>\r\n\r\n<p><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-10-25-using-cape-town-as-a-launchpad-russia-boasts-of-supergiant-oil-fields-in-antarctic-wilderness/tiara-russiaexplore-sanae-iv/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1077852\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1077852\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/tiara-russiaExplore-Sanae-IV.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"482\" /></a> <em>Sanae IV, the South African research station in East Antarctica. (Photo: Tiara Walters)</em></p>\r\n<h4><b>Fikizolo vs NGOs, peer-reviewed academia</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The department’s communications office has previously </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-02-07-its-a-moral-disgrace-cape-town-mayor-spits-fire-as-russian-seismic-ship-sails-to-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">defended Russia’s actions as “freedom of scientific investigation”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> — a treaty cornerstone used by Japan for controversial, but currently suspended, “scientific” hunting for commercially sold whale meat.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And now Fikizolo insisted he had not received evidence from 29 South African NGOs, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-02-07-its-a-moral-disgrace-cape-town-mayor-spits-fire-as-russian-seismic-ship-sails-to-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">even though they had sent a letter earlier this year</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> urging the government to stop the Rosgeo ship due to, among others, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-12-11-revealed-inside-antarcticas-brutal-lingering-noise-war-on-marine-life-part-one/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">peer-reviewed concerns about airgun surveys</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> potentially harming penguins, whales and other marine life. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The letter’s signatories, led by Extinction Rebellion Cape Town and Greenpeace volunteers, also quoted peer-reviewed research on </span><a href=\"https://www.giga-hamburg.de/de/publikationen/giga-focus/now-and-never-banning-hydrocarbon-extraction-in-antarctica-forever\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Russian Antarctic minerals prospecting activity”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span><a href=\"https://docs.google.com/file/d/1IMruyILJ2mevpNsYd9Dk4zfHopSWY9sW/edit?filetype=msword\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Among the signatories</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is the influential Green Connection, whose co-founder Liz McDaid </span><a href=\"https://thegreenconnection.org.za/liz-mcdaid/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">played a crucial role in overturning</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> South Africa’s $76-billion nuclear deal with Russia in 2017. These non-profits do not enjoy access to Antarctic Treaty meetings, but this year their local protests have gained </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-01-30-sa-protests-against-russias-antarctic-seismic-ship-echo-around-world/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">attention from news media around the world</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the past two years alone, a growing list of peer-reviewed academic publications have also flagged Cape Town as a launchpad for the contentious surveys — including a June 2023 report </span><a href=\"https://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/document/EXPO_IDA(2023)702589\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">commissioned by the European Parliament</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (as well as </span><a href=\"https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.4324/9781003404828-22/international-regulation-mineral-resources-activities-polar-regions-alan-hemmings-timo-koivurova\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, </span><a href=\"https://www.chathamhouse.org/events/all/research-event/russia-and-china-antarctica-implications-five-eyes\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, </span><a href=\"https://www.chathamhouse.org/2022/06/militarization-russian-polar-politics\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and </span><a href=\"https://www.giga-hamburg.de/de/publikationen/giga-focus/now-and-never-banning-hydrocarbon-extraction-in-antarctica-forever\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">)</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\r\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">\"South Africa has a moral duty on behalf of its own citizens, Africa and the whole world to not enable this kind of activity in an area that is very ecologically sensitive,\" said Greenpeace campaigner Elaine Nills. <a href=\"https://t.co/o51UnFWBy6\">https://t.co/o51UnFWBy6</a></p>\r\n— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/MoscowTimes/status/1619715867071102978?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 29, 2023</a></blockquote>\r\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"></script>\r\n<h4><b>Stalemate: ‘No evidence, no investigation’</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fikizolo persisted: He was “not sure where the origins of that narrative come from … precisely because” the evidence had not been tabled at the Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meeting (ATCM), the mid-year event where the big annual decisions are made. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No investigation could be launched without receipt of supporting facts, he said, but Daily Maverick had already repeatedly supplied the department, the Antarctic Treaty Secretariat and the treaty’s Committee for Environmental Protection — which advises the ATCM — </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-02-all-governments-know-russia-is-violating-iconic-antarctic-mining-ban/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">with publicly reported facts</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, to which </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-02-all-governments-know-russia-is-violating-iconic-antarctic-mining-ban/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">they did not respond</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> or </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-10-25-using-cape-town-as-a-launchpad-russia-boasts-of-supergiant-oil-fields-in-antarctic-wilderness/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">declined to respond</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Outside the Helsinki ATCM venue in June, Fikizolo had also declined this reporter’s in-person interview request, referring us to the department’s spokespeople instead. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Due to the concern and gravity around these allegations,” the DA’s Winkler concluded, “saying that you don’t think something is happening” is not “substantial enough” to disregard the need for further investigation.</span>\r\n<h4><b>‘Non-alignment’: diplomatic tango in iceberg alley</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Did hosting the Kremlin’s seismic activities also create the perception </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">that South Africa was helping Russia adhere to illegal activities in Antarctica, </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">asked DA committee member Annerie Weber.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At least, they raise questions about the ANC government’s “non-alignment” policy towards Russia’s war against Ukraine — a policy that, in theory, applies to the Antarctic regions as well. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For instance, Cape Town continues to host Russian state polar ships every year (something the city’s </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-02-07-its-a-moral-disgrace-cape-town-mayor-spits-fire-as-russian-seismic-ship-sails-to-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DA-affiliated mayor, Geordin Hill-Lewis, is not happy about</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">). But then, Ukraine’s Noosfera polar research vessel has been in the city since the start of the war, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-05-ukrainian-polar-captain-i-come-from-a-family-of-seamen-and-long-for-noosfera-to-return-to-my-homeland/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">seeking refuge in the Table Bay port when not in Antarctica</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In closed-door Antarctic meetings, Fikizolo and his colleagues have sometimes aligned with Russia. At the most recent Helsinki ATCM, his delegation and BRICS allies Brazil, China and Russia </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-14-helsinki-heatpocrisy-overlooked-russian-oil-gas-hunt-exposes-chinks-in-antarctic-climate-declaration/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">did not co-sponsor a more ambitious mining ban reaffirmation</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, in contrast to other Western and Western-aligned states, such as Ukraine. At the same ATCM, Russia’s and Fikizolo’s delegations sat together due to alphabetical arrangements, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-01-no-more-mister-ice-guys-russia-sa-fail-to-take-a-climate-stand-at-top-antarctic-meeting-in-finland/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">refraining from joining a resounding ovation</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for a climate youth activist — in sharp contrast to the lion’s share of the decision-making states.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A non-binding declaration coming out of Helsinki would eventually include a clause to reaffirm the ban. Nevertheless, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-21-helsinki-explained-antarcticas-mining-ban-may-face-meltdown-but-lets-pretend-everythings-chill/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">it was watered down</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In any number of mid-century scenarios, no one might care about mining Antarctica. The ban then continues as normal. And while some senior Russian academia involved in Antarctic minerals research have suggested </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the Madrid Protocol is a “gentleman’s agreement”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, Russian authorities are officially committed to sticking to the ban until at least 2048. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If, however, Moscow needed a smoking gun that the ATCM was willing to ignore actions that test Antarctic governance, Helsinki’s hurrah to reaffirm the ban — made by all states without breathing a word about </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-01-30-sa-protests-against-russias-antarctic-seismic-ship-echo-around-world/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russia’s widely reported</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> oil, gas and other minerals “research” trips — may have been it.</span>\r\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\r\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Russian Antarctic vessel docks in South Africa as green groups protest <a href=\"https://t.co/2yArXRcYAw\">https://t.co/2yArXRcYAw</a> <a href=\"https://t.co/0I41P67hJN\">pic.twitter.com/0I41P67hJN</a></p>\r\n— Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1619360948317294593?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 28, 2023</a></blockquote>\r\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"></script>\r\n<h4><b>Treaty secretariat’s tiny powers</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Africa would not launch an investigation because the alleged incidents did not happen within the country’s borders or exclusive economic zone, Fikizolo added. Allegations should be sent to the Antarctic Treaty Secretariat for presentation to the ATCM, he proposed.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here, Fikizolo seems to overestimate the remit of the secretariat — </span><a href=\"https://www.ats.aq/e/secretariat.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">a tiny administrative body in downtown Buenos Aires</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> with a tiny staff complement whose tiny powers allow them to act only on instructions from the ATCM. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And the ATCM, a consensus-fuelled mothership, can generally only consider launching an investigation when concerns are tabled by at least one member state, such as — well — South Africa. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, it is hard to see how Fikizolo could distance South Africa from at least tabling the matter, as Russia relies heavily on the country’s gateway facilities to reach East Antarctica, the predominant target region for the minerals surveys. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In fact, without South Africa, Russia faces difficulties reaching Antarctica through any other official gateway state: Australia, Chile and New Zealand are unlikely to offer “innocent passage” to Kremlin ships involved in protest-causing projects. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Argentina, another gateway, provides only limited support to Russia’s West Antarctic station. </span>\r\n<h4><b>Noodles, anyone?</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Antarctic and Southern Ocean Coalition (Asoc), a key non-profit environmental group instrumental in the 1970s-1990s ban campaign, has the potential to call for compliance. However, </span><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG3hLU32z78\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">during a Daily Maverick webinar in April</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, it cited limited capacity, war sensitivities and a desire to protect its embedded status at ATCMs </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-02-all-governments-know-russia-is-violating-iconic-antarctic-mining-ban/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">as reasons for its unlikely pursuit of the issue</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All of which seems to raise the question: does the treaty and its protocols, supposedly Antarctica’s first line of defence, have the enforcement muscle of a cooked noodle? </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Or are Antarctica’s remoteness and challenging mining conditions the region’s best protection against resource interests?</span>\r\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\r\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">By all means be concerned about certain activities as noted here and the future role of consensus within the Antarctic Treaty System (which has relevance for fisheries conservation and marine protected areas in particular): <a href=\"https://t.co/XbGRpPh5IQ\">https://t.co/XbGRpPh5IQ</a></p>\r\n— Klaus Dodds (@klausdodds) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/klausdodds/status/1585644752246288386?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 27, 2022</a></blockquote>\r\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"></script>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Echoing </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-02-07-its-a-moral-disgrace-cape-town-mayor-spits-fire-as-russian-seismic-ship-sails-to-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the department’s previous replies</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to Daily Maverick, spokesperson Peter Mbelengwa </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-08-russian-antarctic-prospecting-da-escalates-calls-for-accountability/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">stressed South Africa’s commitment</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to the treaty’s protection measures. Commenting on the Helsinki ATCM, Mbelengwa also urged signatory nations to work together for the Antarctic ecosystem’s long-term sustainability — which could be seen as reassuring.</span>\r\n<h4><b>Australian ‘ownership’ gaffe</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But then Fikizolo took to his briefing platform again, </span><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zeoxq0uALo\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">trotting out a list of odd factoids</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> about </span><a href=\"https://www.ats.aq/e/key-documents.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">fundamental, freely downloadable treaty laws</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Claiming that “about nine” countries, including New Zealand and Norway, “own land in Antarctica”, he gave a special shout-out to Australia. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“About more than 60% of Antarctica,” he said, “is owned by Australia.” </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In reality, nobody “owns” land in Antarctica. </span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more in Daily Maverick:</b> <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-08-28-snow-pas-south-african-official-puts-his-foot-in-it-by-insisting-australia-owns-more-than-60-of-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Snow pas — South African official puts his foot in it by insisting Australia owns more than 60% of Antarctica</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The treaty’s Article 4, the linchpin of south polar territorial politics, recognises different positions on the pre-1959 territorial claims, but parks them for the treaty’s duration — including Australia’s. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Seven, not nine, countries have asserted claims — none of which is widely recognised, and no new claims are allowed (Russia and the US reserve a basis to claim, but neither have actually made a claim). Among others, Australia’s asserted claim hovers at a well-documented 42%. To avoid territorial tensions that could spill over into other treaty matters, correct interpretation of Article 4 is vital. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite DA member Dave Bryant expressing doubts, Fikizolo stuck to his guns. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">His evidence? The Australian Antarctic Strategy </span><a href=\"https://www.antarctica.gov.au/about-us/antarctic-strategy-and-action-plan/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(which does not actually back him)</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We reached out to the department for further answers, but no response was received by the deadline.</span><b> DM</b>\r\n\r\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=REeWvTRUpMk",
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"description": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dr Lisolomzi Fikizolo, South Africa’s top polar official, faced scrutiny during a briefing to Parliament’s environment committee on the country’s Antarctic operations — with </span><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zeoxq0uALo\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russia’s ship-based minerals \"research\" sorties through the Mother City</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> stealing the show.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-04-antarctic-oil-and-gas-hunt-you-just-get-this-rage-rising-in-you/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russian forays into Antarctica and the Southern Ocean</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are controversial due to potential exploitation concerns once the current mining ban, which has no expiry date, </span><a href=\"https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.4324/9781003404828-22/international-regulation-mineral-resources-activities-polar-regions-alan-hemmings-timo-koivurova\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">can be changed or lifted from 2048</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. This minerals “narrative”, however, was devoid of evidence, Fikizolo held firm in the June briefing, which has not been previously reported. South Africa had to allow “innocent passage” to Russian state ships “from the UN point of view”, he contended. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Africa, one among 29 decision-making states to the 1959 Antarctic Treaty, helps manage the Antarctic for demilitarised aims such as research and tourism, where heatwaves and this year’s unusually low sea ice have puzzled scientists. For instance, </span><a href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-023-00927-x\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">around 9,000 emperor penguin chicks</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from Bellingshausen Sea colonies are believed to have perished in November 2022. </span>\r\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\r\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">You’ve heard about Antarctic sea ice lows - well, here’s the consequences.</p>\r\nOver 9,000 emperor penguin chicks from colonies in the Bellingshausen Sea are thought to have died in November 2022.\r\n\r\nThe sea ice they lived on broke up early, before they'd developed waterproof feathers. <a href=\"https://t.co/0A4J3as44a\">pic.twitter.com/0A4J3as44a</a>\r\n\r\n— British Antarctic Survey ? (@BAS_News) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/BAS_News/status/1694726310139244570?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 24, 2023</a></blockquote>\r\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"></script>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As oceans and coasts head of the sole African decision-making state, Fikizolo is, therefore, Africa’s top polar official, and apparently tried sticking to a safe script during his presentation. South Africa maintained an East Antarctic research station and was committed to preserving the region’s unique character, he said. He had reaffirmed Antarctica’s decades-old mining ban alongside other decision-making states, including Russia, during the annual Antarctic Treaty meeting in May and June, hosted in Helsinki. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to the ban, </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“any activity relating to mineral resources, other than scientific research, shall be prohibited”. </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fikizolo said that extracting minerals would remain </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">verboten</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and “there is not going to be any mining research that is going to be allowed”. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Suggesting an investigation was necessary, DA committee members interrogated Fikizolo’s claims — such as that South Africa lacked access to evidence on the Russian activities. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“It has been allegations with no evidence,” Fikizolo said — although </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-14-helsinki-heatpocrisy-overlooked-russian-oil-gas-hunt-exposes-chinks-in-antarctic-climate-declaration/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">prominent Antarctic governance academia have disagreed</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, saying the “evidence” for “prospecting” is “clear”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These annual Russian missions have been carried out via Cape Town aboard an airgunned seismic ship belonging to the Kremlin’s minerals explorer, Rosgeo, even after the ban entered into force in 1998 under the Madrid Protocol, the treaty’s environmental constitution. The ban was signed in 1991.</span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Daily Maverick has reported on the ship’s movements</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and its findings, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-10-25-using-cape-town-as-a-launchpad-russia-boasts-of-supergiant-oil-fields-in-antarctic-wilderness/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">since October 2021</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. And, ironically, despite Fikizolo’s own denials, Russia </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-02-all-governments-know-russia-is-violating-iconic-antarctic-mining-ban/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">has not made a secret of its minerals investigations</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in the environmentally sensitive polar region. Instead, Rosgeo has contended that the activities </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">conform to the ban’s scientific “research” allowances</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. However, while </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">early-stage resource prospecting is argued to be outlawed</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and the line between prospecting and “scientific research” may seem obvious, the ban’s lack of clear definitions remains a topic of debate. </span>\r\n\r\n<iframe class=\"scribd_iframe_embed\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Rosgeo Comment\" src=\"https://www.scribd.com/embeds/667686763/content?start_page=1&view_mode=scroll&access_key=key-CjokSGouNIM6hnStJnkM\" width=\"100%\" height=\"600\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-auto-height=\"true\" data-aspect-ratio=\"0.7068965517241379\"></iframe>\r\n\r\n<em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In 2021, Rosgeo offered a substantive response, insisting that the exploration company and its subsidiary were interested only in non-commercial scientific inquiry and preserving the Antarctic as a 'nature reserve for peace and science'.</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span></em>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yet, concerns hardly relate only to oil and gas.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rosgeo may have made unproven claims that there are <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-10-25-using-cape-town-as-a-launchpad-russia-boasts-of-supergiant-oil-fields-in-antarctic-wilderness/\">500 billion barrels of oil and gas</a> (15 times global annual oil consumption) beneath the Southern Ocean, but </span><a href=\"http://www.pmge.ru/index.php?id=118&lang=RUS\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">online reports by the company’s subsidiary</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> also describe a substantial inventory of minerals along 2.5 million km² of the East Antarctic’s Indian Ocean sector. From 2007 to 2017, for instance, Russian geologists have </span><a href=\"http://www.pmge.ru/index.php?id=118&lang=RUS\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">assessed potential so-called “raw materials” here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> — including gold, diamonds, copper-nickel, coal, iron ore, molybdenum and uranium.</span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As Russian academia have also told us</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, there is a “real” possibility that other countries are prospecting continental Antarctica. Yet, in 2016, the Rosgeo subsidiary openly claimed credit</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> </span><a href=\"http://pmge.ru/index.php?id=627&lang=RUS\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">for the “overwhelming majority” of work</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> needed to identify Antarctica’s potential supergiant oil fields. </span>\r\n<h4><b>‘Allegations’ — predetermined as ‘false’? </b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Responding to Fikizolo, DA committee member Hannah Winkler hit back. Would the national environment department, which employs Fikizolo, launch its “own investigation into [the Russian activities] to decide if there is any veracity to the claims?” </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“What sort of evidence is the South African government actually looking for?” Winkler asked. “Or have you already decided as a department in conjunction with the minister that the allegations are false?”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ANC, EFF and IFP members were also present in the briefing, but their enquiries focused on South Africa’s general Antarctic operations.</span>\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_1077852\" align=\"alignnone\" width=\"720\"]<a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-10-25-using-cape-town-as-a-launchpad-russia-boasts-of-supergiant-oil-fields-in-antarctic-wilderness/tiara-russiaexplore-sanae-iv/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1077852\"><img class=\"size-full wp-image-1077852\" src=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/tiara-russiaExplore-Sanae-IV.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"482\" /></a> <em>Sanae IV, the South African research station in East Antarctica. (Photo: Tiara Walters)</em>[/caption]\r\n<h4><b>Fikizolo vs NGOs, peer-reviewed academia</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The department’s communications office has previously </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-02-07-its-a-moral-disgrace-cape-town-mayor-spits-fire-as-russian-seismic-ship-sails-to-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">defended Russia’s actions as “freedom of scientific investigation”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> — a treaty cornerstone used by Japan for controversial, but currently suspended, “scientific” hunting for commercially sold whale meat.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And now Fikizolo insisted he had not received evidence from 29 South African NGOs, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-02-07-its-a-moral-disgrace-cape-town-mayor-spits-fire-as-russian-seismic-ship-sails-to-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">even though they had sent a letter earlier this year</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> urging the government to stop the Rosgeo ship due to, among others, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-12-11-revealed-inside-antarcticas-brutal-lingering-noise-war-on-marine-life-part-one/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">peer-reviewed concerns about airgun surveys</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> potentially harming penguins, whales and other marine life. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The letter’s signatories, led by Extinction Rebellion Cape Town and Greenpeace volunteers, also quoted peer-reviewed research on </span><a href=\"https://www.giga-hamburg.de/de/publikationen/giga-focus/now-and-never-banning-hydrocarbon-extraction-in-antarctica-forever\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Russian Antarctic minerals prospecting activity”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span><a href=\"https://docs.google.com/file/d/1IMruyILJ2mevpNsYd9Dk4zfHopSWY9sW/edit?filetype=msword\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Among the signatories</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is the influential Green Connection, whose co-founder Liz McDaid </span><a href=\"https://thegreenconnection.org.za/liz-mcdaid/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">played a crucial role in overturning</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> South Africa’s $76-billion nuclear deal with Russia in 2017. These non-profits do not enjoy access to Antarctic Treaty meetings, but this year their local protests have gained </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-01-30-sa-protests-against-russias-antarctic-seismic-ship-echo-around-world/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">attention from news media around the world</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the past two years alone, a growing list of peer-reviewed academic publications have also flagged Cape Town as a launchpad for the contentious surveys — including a June 2023 report </span><a href=\"https://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/document/EXPO_IDA(2023)702589\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">commissioned by the European Parliament</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (as well as </span><a href=\"https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.4324/9781003404828-22/international-regulation-mineral-resources-activities-polar-regions-alan-hemmings-timo-koivurova\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, </span><a href=\"https://www.chathamhouse.org/events/all/research-event/russia-and-china-antarctica-implications-five-eyes\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, </span><a href=\"https://www.chathamhouse.org/2022/06/militarization-russian-polar-politics\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and </span><a href=\"https://www.giga-hamburg.de/de/publikationen/giga-focus/now-and-never-banning-hydrocarbon-extraction-in-antarctica-forever\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">)</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\r\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">\"South Africa has a moral duty on behalf of its own citizens, Africa and the whole world to not enable this kind of activity in an area that is very ecologically sensitive,\" said Greenpeace campaigner Elaine Nills. <a href=\"https://t.co/o51UnFWBy6\">https://t.co/o51UnFWBy6</a></p>\r\n— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/MoscowTimes/status/1619715867071102978?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 29, 2023</a></blockquote>\r\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"></script>\r\n<h4><b>Stalemate: ‘No evidence, no investigation’</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fikizolo persisted: He was “not sure where the origins of that narrative come from … precisely because” the evidence had not been tabled at the Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meeting (ATCM), the mid-year event where the big annual decisions are made. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No investigation could be launched without receipt of supporting facts, he said, but Daily Maverick had already repeatedly supplied the department, the Antarctic Treaty Secretariat and the treaty’s Committee for Environmental Protection — which advises the ATCM — </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-02-all-governments-know-russia-is-violating-iconic-antarctic-mining-ban/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">with publicly reported facts</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, to which </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-02-all-governments-know-russia-is-violating-iconic-antarctic-mining-ban/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">they did not respond</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> or </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-10-25-using-cape-town-as-a-launchpad-russia-boasts-of-supergiant-oil-fields-in-antarctic-wilderness/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">declined to respond</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Outside the Helsinki ATCM venue in June, Fikizolo had also declined this reporter’s in-person interview request, referring us to the department’s spokespeople instead. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Due to the concern and gravity around these allegations,” the DA’s Winkler concluded, “saying that you don’t think something is happening” is not “substantial enough” to disregard the need for further investigation.</span>\r\n<h4><b>‘Non-alignment’: diplomatic tango in iceberg alley</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Did hosting the Kremlin’s seismic activities also create the perception </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">that South Africa was helping Russia adhere to illegal activities in Antarctica, </span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">asked DA committee member Annerie Weber.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At least, they raise questions about the ANC government’s “non-alignment” policy towards Russia’s war against Ukraine — a policy that, in theory, applies to the Antarctic regions as well. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For instance, Cape Town continues to host Russian state polar ships every year (something the city’s </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-02-07-its-a-moral-disgrace-cape-town-mayor-spits-fire-as-russian-seismic-ship-sails-to-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DA-affiliated mayor, Geordin Hill-Lewis, is not happy about</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">). But then, Ukraine’s Noosfera polar research vessel has been in the city since the start of the war, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-05-ukrainian-polar-captain-i-come-from-a-family-of-seamen-and-long-for-noosfera-to-return-to-my-homeland/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">seeking refuge in the Table Bay port when not in Antarctica</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In closed-door Antarctic meetings, Fikizolo and his colleagues have sometimes aligned with Russia. At the most recent Helsinki ATCM, his delegation and BRICS allies Brazil, China and Russia </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-14-helsinki-heatpocrisy-overlooked-russian-oil-gas-hunt-exposes-chinks-in-antarctic-climate-declaration/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">did not co-sponsor a more ambitious mining ban reaffirmation</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, in contrast to other Western and Western-aligned states, such as Ukraine. At the same ATCM, Russia’s and Fikizolo’s delegations sat together due to alphabetical arrangements, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-01-no-more-mister-ice-guys-russia-sa-fail-to-take-a-climate-stand-at-top-antarctic-meeting-in-finland/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">refraining from joining a resounding ovation</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for a climate youth activist — in sharp contrast to the lion’s share of the decision-making states.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A non-binding declaration coming out of Helsinki would eventually include a clause to reaffirm the ban. Nevertheless, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-21-helsinki-explained-antarcticas-mining-ban-may-face-meltdown-but-lets-pretend-everythings-chill/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">it was watered down</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In any number of mid-century scenarios, no one might care about mining Antarctica. The ban then continues as normal. And while some senior Russian academia involved in Antarctic minerals research have suggested </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-05-17-gentlemans-agreement-despite-mining-ban-russia-scours-antarctica-for-massive-fossil-fuel-deposits/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the Madrid Protocol is a “gentleman’s agreement”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, Russian authorities are officially committed to sticking to the ban until at least 2048. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If, however, Moscow needed a smoking gun that the ATCM was willing to ignore actions that test Antarctic governance, Helsinki’s hurrah to reaffirm the ban — made by all states without breathing a word about </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-01-30-sa-protests-against-russias-antarctic-seismic-ship-echo-around-world/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russia’s widely reported</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> oil, gas and other minerals “research” trips — may have been it.</span>\r\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\r\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Russian Antarctic vessel docks in South Africa as green groups protest <a href=\"https://t.co/2yArXRcYAw\">https://t.co/2yArXRcYAw</a> <a href=\"https://t.co/0I41P67hJN\">pic.twitter.com/0I41P67hJN</a></p>\r\n— Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1619360948317294593?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 28, 2023</a></blockquote>\r\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"></script>\r\n<h4><b>Treaty secretariat’s tiny powers</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Africa would not launch an investigation because the alleged incidents did not happen within the country’s borders or exclusive economic zone, Fikizolo added. Allegations should be sent to the Antarctic Treaty Secretariat for presentation to the ATCM, he proposed.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here, Fikizolo seems to overestimate the remit of the secretariat — </span><a href=\"https://www.ats.aq/e/secretariat.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">a tiny administrative body in downtown Buenos Aires</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> with a tiny staff complement whose tiny powers allow them to act only on instructions from the ATCM. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And the ATCM, a consensus-fuelled mothership, can generally only consider launching an investigation when concerns are tabled by at least one member state, such as — well — South Africa. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, it is hard to see how Fikizolo could distance South Africa from at least tabling the matter, as Russia relies heavily on the country’s gateway facilities to reach East Antarctica, the predominant target region for the minerals surveys. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In fact, without South Africa, Russia faces difficulties reaching Antarctica through any other official gateway state: Australia, Chile and New Zealand are unlikely to offer “innocent passage” to Kremlin ships involved in protest-causing projects. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Argentina, another gateway, provides only limited support to Russia’s West Antarctic station. </span>\r\n<h4><b>Noodles, anyone?</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Antarctic and Southern Ocean Coalition (Asoc), a key non-profit environmental group instrumental in the 1970s-1990s ban campaign, has the potential to call for compliance. However, </span><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG3hLU32z78\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">during a Daily Maverick webinar in April</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, it cited limited capacity, war sensitivities and a desire to protect its embedded status at ATCMs </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-04-02-all-governments-know-russia-is-violating-iconic-antarctic-mining-ban/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">as reasons for its unlikely pursuit of the issue</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All of which seems to raise the question: does the treaty and its protocols, supposedly Antarctica’s first line of defence, have the enforcement muscle of a cooked noodle? </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Or are Antarctica’s remoteness and challenging mining conditions the region’s best protection against resource interests?</span>\r\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\r\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">By all means be concerned about certain activities as noted here and the future role of consensus within the Antarctic Treaty System (which has relevance for fisheries conservation and marine protected areas in particular): <a href=\"https://t.co/XbGRpPh5IQ\">https://t.co/XbGRpPh5IQ</a></p>\r\n— Klaus Dodds (@klausdodds) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/klausdodds/status/1585644752246288386?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 27, 2022</a></blockquote>\r\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"></script>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Echoing </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-02-07-its-a-moral-disgrace-cape-town-mayor-spits-fire-as-russian-seismic-ship-sails-to-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the department’s previous replies</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to Daily Maverick, spokesperson Peter Mbelengwa </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-06-08-russian-antarctic-prospecting-da-escalates-calls-for-accountability/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">stressed South Africa’s commitment</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to the treaty’s protection measures. Commenting on the Helsinki ATCM, Mbelengwa also urged signatory nations to work together for the Antarctic ecosystem’s long-term sustainability — which could be seen as reassuring.</span>\r\n<h4><b>Australian ‘ownership’ gaffe</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But then Fikizolo took to his briefing platform again, </span><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zeoxq0uALo\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">trotting out a list of odd factoids</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> about </span><a href=\"https://www.ats.aq/e/key-documents.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">fundamental, freely downloadable treaty laws</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Claiming that “about nine” countries, including New Zealand and Norway, “own land in Antarctica”, he gave a special shout-out to Australia. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“About more than 60% of Antarctica,” he said, “is owned by Australia.” </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In reality, nobody “owns” land in Antarctica. </span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more in Daily Maverick:</b> <a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-08-28-snow-pas-south-african-official-puts-his-foot-in-it-by-insisting-australia-owns-more-than-60-of-antarctica/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Snow pas — South African official puts his foot in it by insisting Australia owns more than 60% of Antarctica</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The treaty’s Article 4, the linchpin of south polar territorial politics, recognises different positions on the pre-1959 territorial claims, but parks them for the treaty’s duration — including Australia’s. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Seven, not nine, countries have asserted claims — none of which is widely recognised, and no new claims are allowed (Russia and the US reserve a basis to claim, but neither have actually made a claim). Among others, Australia’s asserted claim hovers at a well-documented 42%. To avoid territorial tensions that could spill over into other treaty matters, correct interpretation of Article 4 is vital. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite DA member Dave Bryant expressing doubts, Fikizolo stuck to his guns. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">His evidence? The Australian Antarctic Strategy </span><a href=\"https://www.antarctica.gov.au/about-us/antarctic-strategy-and-action-plan/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(which does not actually back him)</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We reached out to the department for further answers, but no response was received by the deadline.</span><b> DM</b>\r\n\r\nhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=REeWvTRUpMk",
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"summary": "Democratic Alliance (DA) opposition members have grilled South Africa’s head of oceans and coasts about the Kremlin’s Cape Town-launched mineral missions into Antarctica — but Dr Lisolomzi Fikizolo, in a Parliament briefing, has said that Russia’s activities have nothing to do with the country. While tuning his compass, the official seemed to find a talent for getting lost: mistakenly insisting — twice — that Australia’s icy empire covers ‘about more than 60% of Antarctica’.\r\n",
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