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Rand hits record low against US dollar, slammed by GNU fiasco and Trump tariffs

The rand is in freefall and 20 to the dollar looms on the horizon, which means accelerating inflation and possibly rising interest rates.
Rand hits record low against US dollar, slammed by GNU fiasco and Trump tariffs

South Africa’s battered rand slid to a record low on Wednesday afternoon in the face of mounting concerns over the future of the government of national unity (GNU) and the global shockwaves from US President Donald Trump’s tariff onslaught. 

By 3.15pm, it had hit a record low of 19.9325 as reported by Reuters before shifting slightly lower to 19.85 at 5.15pm.

A breakthrough there could easily open the path to 20.0/dlr, which would be a massive and shocking psychological level.

The stakes are sky-high. The rand has been a sitting duck since the unleashing of Trump’s barrage a week ago compounded the domestic political uncertainty around the GNU. 


What this means for you



  • If the rand’s trading levels become elevated above the 20.0/dlr, inflation pressures will reignite from rising import costs. This will dash hopes of the Reserve Bank cutting rates again. A new hiking cycle could even be in the offing, which would heap further misery on your wallet and spending patterns.



Read more: Explainer – why the rand is a sitting and sinking duck 

The rand simply cannot defy the laws of political and economic gravity. DM

This article has been updated to reflect rand movements throughout the day. 

 

Trump

Comments (2)

Rod MacLeod Apr 10, 2025, 09:16 AM

In the long term, currencies track their underlying value when measured against other currencies. This is why the Rand has gone from R12 to U$1 in 2015 to nearly R20 to U$1 in 2025. For our neighbour's Pula - R1.17 and R1.38. Against the Euro - R12.80 and R21.95. Yes, short term fluctuations show the effects of current affairs, but long term currency movements show the effects of your economic policies.

Fred Lightly Said Apr 9, 2025, 10:48 AM

The old saying that you should concentrate on the things you can change, and not those which you can't change is valid here. We cannot avoid the Trump damage to the world economy, but if the majority GNU partner had just an inkling of concern for South Africa, rather than their own party, the budget fiasco would have been ironed out with less total damage to our economy. What will it take for the ANC to look down the line and put South Africans first?

Gavin Hillyard Apr 9, 2025, 01:17 PM

If Cyril & co just kept their mouths shut, and applied their energies to sorting out SA Inc.'s problems, instead of becoming embroiled in affairs on the other side of the world, and appointing a suitable diplomatic person the represent us in the USA, I daresay the pain in SA would be a lot less. SA interests first Cyril.