Researchers warn the NPA’s conviction numbers mask a less impressive reality

Only half of South Africans feel “very safe” walking during the day – a statistic which for other countries applies to walking at night.

Presenting research on reform needed at the National Prosecuting Authority (NPA), researchers at the Africa Criminal Justice Reform unit at the University of the Western Cape argued that the NPA’s performance should not be measured solely on conviction rates.

“How is it contributing to public safety?” asked Professor Lukas Muntingh at a webinar this week.

Muntingh and his colleague Jean Redpath contend that the NPA’s conviction rate of above 90% helps mask some more unpalatable realities.

For one thing, the fact that NPA performance is measured so heavily on conviction rate provides a perverse incentive for prosecutors not to take on cases where there are limited prospects of succeeding.

“The NPA is not prosecuting cases even with an over 80% chance of success,” Redpath said.

It is particularly easy for prosecutors to decline to take on certain cases because no authorisation is required for this decision. In a paper recently published by Muntingh and Redpath, they point out that permission to prosecute certain crimes has to be obtained from senior prosecutors – but withdrawing cases requires no such permission.

“Current prosecution policy directives set by the NDPP [National Director of Public Prosecutions] requires that prosecutors obtain approval from senior prosecutors for certain more serious prosecutions of certain categories of officials, primarily senior officials working in the criminal justice system, including law enforcement, prosecutors, magistrates and police,” they write.

The fact that such cases can be dropped without authorisation “makes it much easier to decide not to prosecute rather than to prosecute”.

The researchers suggest that it should become a requirement for the NDPP to report to Parliament on all decisions taken to prosecute or not prosecute state officials.

Another worrying aspect is the growing number of cases which the NPA is reporting as being resolved via “informal mediation”.

According to the NPA’s 2019/20 annual report, to which NPA spokesperson Sipho Ngwema directed Daily Maverick when asked for comment on these matters, almost 106,000 cases were resolved by informal mediation in the 2018/19 year, and close to 100,000 in the 2019/20 year.

Informal mediation holds potential benefits for both the victim and the accused: the accused doesn’t receive a criminal record and the victim doesn’t have to go through the trouble and trauma of testifying in court. The researchers say that it seems to be particularly prevalent in cases of sexual assault involving a younger victim.

But what it amounts to in the South African context, write Muntingh and Redpath, is often a kind of financial negotiation.

“The directives do not rule out the payment of compensation to the victim,” they write.

“This raises the very real problem of more wealthy offenders being able to ‘buy’ their way out of a criminal record.”

A further issue is the lack of centralised record-keeping on this practice. The researchers propose that a database should be established listing the names of victims, defendants and prosecutors – to make sure that serial offenders are not repeatedly paying their way out of court and to ensure that certain prosecutors are not opting for this mode of resolution suspiciously often.

Should the volumes of new cases continue to decline, it will become increasingly difficult for the prosecutors to achieve the targets set for the successful finalisation of prosecutions of serious crimes.