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"contents": "<a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/opinionista/2021-10-03-in-this-brave-new-world-of-online-learning-teachers-have-to-motivate-their-students-to-seek-light-and-hope/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">World Teachers’ Day</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> was celebrated last month, and much of the media coverage focussed on South Africa’s teacher shortage crisis, with many asking</span><a href=\"https://dailyinvestor.com/south-africa/34799/south-african-education-crisis-only-55-of-teachers-can-perform-at-grade-4-level/?source=newsletter\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">what needs to be done to produce more, and better teachers</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This shortage, driven by</span><a href=\"https://resep.sun.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/10.-Gustafsson_QER-2023.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">enrolment increases, population growth and teacher retirements</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, will almost certainly further increase class sizes. But there’s another issue that we aren’t discussing — and that’s the impact of the bloated public wage bill due to pay increases, </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">irrespective of performance</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The financial strain placed on provinces is a major cause of increased class sizes, fewer middle and senior leadership appointments, and ultimately persistently low learner outcomes across the system.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Following public sector strikes in March of this year,</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-03-27-government-and-public-sector-trade-unions-on-the-verge-of-sealing-7-5-pay-rise-deal/?token=MEdjczVNYUpZeFBuZmN2SkdvQUJXSFM5TmxZL1lxOVFaNTQzd0tLNGQrNlRURGM1QnFrck1iL0xnVy9tYllpcFdGeW5PWVFkWUNYSU9IWk5nbGs3bnVkSDN6TXJ1czloWnpORVVrMW13bXZzNDZIN0Jzd3NzRkhHazh6NFliSTJaRjVaRDJNTzNjMHV0NENmVzhab2pGUHNGZmZzSU1DY1JyR280ZDFCSGRvPQ==\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">government and trade unions concluded a pay increase agreement for just over 1.2 million public servants</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Having initially requested an increase of 10%, most trade unions then accepted government’s offer to increase pay by 7.5% for the remainder of this fiscal year, and in line with the expected rate of inflation in 2024/25, capped at 6.5%.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This pay increase continued what has been a steady trend in teacher salaries over the past 15 years, aside from the pandemic (teachers received absolutely no</span><a href=\"http://www.treasury.gov.za/documents/mtbps/2022/mtbps/Annexure%20B.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">cost-of-living adjustments</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> between 2020 and 2022 — resulting in a salary decline in real terms, which was somewhat softened by a cash gratuity). From 2008 to 2019,</span><a href=\"https://nicspaull.files.wordpress.com/2019/01/v2-spaull-priorities-for-educ-reform-treasury-19-jan-2019.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">teacher salaries rose</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> by an average of 9.2% in real terms, while average inflation was only 6.3% per year.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Teacher salaries are the single largest line item in the South African budget. “</span><a href=\"https://resep.sun.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Note-7-What-do-teachers-earn-TDD-1-Dec-2022_v3.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In 2022, teacher salaries</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> accounted for one-third of all public sector wages at R222-billion, approximately 3.5% of GDP and 10% of total government expenditure”. Furthermore, the average teacher in 2019 earned</span><a href=\"https://resep.sun.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/11.-NtakaSpaull_QER-2023.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">R42,668 per month in salary and benefits</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> — placing teachers in</span><a href=\"https://hsrc.ac.za/uploads/pageContent/1044991/TIMSS%202019_Grade%205_HSRC_FinalReport.pdf\"> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the top 5% of the income distribution in South Africa</span></i></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Finally, relative to teachers in other countries South African teachers earn well too —</span><a href=\"https://www.busa.org.za/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Intellidex-Public-Sector-Wage-Bill-Nov-2020.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">research undertaken by Intellidex</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in 2020 indicated that South African “teachers’ salaries are nearly 50 per cent higher than the OECD average” and that “only Germany and Luxembourg paid teachers more”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Before going any further, let us be clear — the issue here is not how much teachers are paid. Teaching is a complex and demanding profession, and those who undertake their work with commitment, dedication and professionalism should be rewarded adequately for doing so.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The issue is that far too many teachers are either unwilling (on any given day, one in 10 teachers</span><a href=\"https://www.education.gov.za/Portals/0/Documents/Publications/01%20Quantitative%20Survey%20Main%20Report%20School%20Monitoring%20Survey%202017-18.pdf?ver=2019-05-06-111202-917\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">won’t arrive at school</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, leaving 135,000 learners without a teacher) or</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/opinionista/2022-09-21-half-our-teachers-will-retire-by-2030-what-about-those-wholl-remain/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">unable</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (the average score for B.Ed students taking a grade 6 maths test</span><a href=\"https://www.jet.org.za/resources/Taylor%20Whats%20wrong%20with%20SA%20schools%20JET%20Schools%20Conf%20final.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is 54%</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) to do their jobs. And so, on</span><a href=\"https://hsrc.ac.za/uploads/pageContent/1044991/TIMSS%202019_Grade%205_HSRC_FinalReport.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">nearly every measure</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, we remain the poorest performing school system in the world</span><a href=\"https://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/harmonized-learning-outcomes-transforming-learning-assessment-data-national-education\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">per dollar spent</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. And yet we continue to reward underperforming and absent teachers financially for this.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The bloated public sector and its excessive wage bill contribute significantly to</span><a href=\"https://resep.sun.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/10.-Gustafsson_QER-2023.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">unmanageable class sizes</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, fewer</span><a href=\"https://resep.sun.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Note-3-Freezing-HOD-and-DP-positions-TDD-10-Nov-2022-v3.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Head of Department (HOD) appointments</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and even fewer</span><a href=\"https://resep.sun.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/0.-Synthesis-of-Findings-Teacher-Demographic-Dividend-1-Dec-2022.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">principal appointments</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> — all of which continue to contribute to chronic underperformance and schools that are best described as “</span><a href=\"https://nicspaull.files.wordpress.com/2019/01/v2-spaull-priorities-for-educ-reform-treasury-19-jan-2019.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">cognitive wastelands</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And the impact of the public sector wage bill goes beyond class sizes and learner outcomes. It affects the entire country. According to leading economists,</span><a href=\"https://www.iol.co.za/business-report/economy/overpaid-public-service-is-key-problem-roodt-1595995\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">consistently excessive increases in the public sector have contributed</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to</span><a href=\"https://dailyinvestor.com/finance/29875/south-africa-has-run-out-of-money/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">National Treasury running out of money</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> — leading to provincial governments now having to absorb costs that will most certainly result in further hiring freezes, and a number of impossibly difficult trade-offs to make further cuts to already tight and shrinking budgets.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How do we resolve this?</span>\r\n<h4><b>1</b> <b>Decentralise collective bargaining agreements</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The stranglehold that the unions have on the budgeting process must be broken. The annual national budgeting process takes place between June and December every year, and the outcomes of the budget are tabled in Parliament the following February (National Treasury, 2022). Collective bargaining agreements (CBAs) are negotiated by the unions at a national level, and as a result, the provinces are effectively held to ransom and left with no choice but to absorb the public sector wage increases, which account for nearly 80% of their budgets.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CBA’s are a core driver of increased class sizes, learner-to-educator ratios and hiring freezes at a middle and senior leadership level — and therefore poor learner outcomes. Decentralising union negotiations and shifting these discussions to the provinces has the potential to mitigate this substantially.</span>\r\n<h4><b>2 Introduce performance-related pay for educators</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We simply have to stop rewarding teachers who can’t or won’t teach, and begin recognising those who can, and do.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In countries with comparatively low teachers’ salaries (less than 15% above GDP per capita), the</span><a href=\"https://www.oecd.org/pisa/pisaproducts/pisainfocus/50328990.pdf\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">OECD found</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that student performance tended to be better when performance-based pay systems are in place and concluded that countries lacking the resources to pay their teachers well should consider performance-related pay schemes.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To introduce a performance-related pay scheme in South Africa, we have to ensure that learner outcomes feature prominently (</span><a href=\"https://www.readingpanel.co.za/_files/ugd/e4cf67_41efd12a3af14c54bb2fa82dfe0a551d.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">they currently do not at all</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) in the performance targets of teachers, middle and senior leaders, principals and provincial officials. Once established, these performance targets should be tied to any further financial reward (inclusive of</span><a href=\"https://www.ekon.sun.ac.za/wpapers/2020/wp082020\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">salary notch increases, 13</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">th</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> cheques</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and proposed CPI-related increases in excess of inflation).</span>\r\n<h4><b>3</b> <b>Improve the quality of learner-performance data</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Performance-related pay schemes are complex and difficult to implement. Harder still without valid, reliable and accurate data. To ensure that all our schools can set and meet realistic targets, we need valid, accurate and reliable </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">learner-performance</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> data at a circuit and district level that officials can readily access and utilise to deliver targeted support with their limited resources, and then follow up with rigorous monitoring and evaluation.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This means the introduction of standardised, externally evaluated assessments at regular checkpoints from Grades 1 to 12. To implement these changes effectively, national government will need to be strategic, brave and strong in introducing measures that the unions are likely to oppose. If we back down,</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/opinionista/2023-02-02-matric-should-not-be-the-only-metric-by-which-we-measure-success-we-must-bring-back-regular-assessments/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">as we did with the ANAs</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, we will not break free from this vicious cycle of overcompensation and underperformance.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In summary — we need to position children and their futures at the centre of education. This can help us to make the bold moves we need to, so that we can give them what they deserve.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Their current</span><a href=\"https://www.statssa.gov.za/?p=15407\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">dire economic prospects</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> should give us all the courage and conviction we need to push back on unrealistic union demands, introduce performance-related pay mechanisms and implement standardised assessments. It doesn’t have to be either/or — it can be both/and.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We can do all of this for our children, and at the same time continue to protect and preserve the rights of educators so that those who do their jobs well will continue to be rewarded, and those who don’t, won’t. </span><b>DM</b>",
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