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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Back in 2022 and 2023, after Russia invaded Ukraine and Pretoria refused to condemn Moscow, South Africa’s friendly relations with Russia were the most toxic in the eyes of the West, especially the United States (US).</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But US President Donald Trump has turned the world on its head by blaming Ukraine for allowing itself to be invaded, a position that aligns with Russia’s narrative about the war. Now South Africa’s ties with Iran are emerging as the most damaging to its relations with the US.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trump’s hostility to South Africa became official </span><a href=\"https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/addressing-egregious-actions-of-the-republic-of-south-africa/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">in an executive order</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> terminating all US aid to the country, partly because of its new Expropriation Act, but also because of South Africa’s International Court of Justice (ICJ) case against Israel, and its “[reinvigorated] relations with Iran to develop commercial, military, and nuclear arrangements”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pretoria has been trying to avoid a </span><a href=\"https://issafrica.org/iss-today/agoa-agoing-agoner-risks-of-us-trade-policy-for-africa\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">complete breakdown</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in its relationship with the US, largely to protect its lucrative duty-free access to the US market under the African Growth and Opportunity Act. The recent aid cuts also </span><a href=\"https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c77887npl2mo\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">pose a significant risk to South Africa</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, especially its already ailing health sector.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite this, the African National Congress (ANC) – the major partner in South Africa’s government of national unity – is actively promoting its good relations with Iran.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Last week Nomvula Mokonyane, the ANC’s Deputy Secretary-General, and Blade Nzimande, Minister of Science, Technology and Innovation, both separately hosted Iranian Ambassador to South Africa, Mansour Shakib Mehr, </span><a href=\"https://www.iol.co.za/news/south-africa/minister-nzimande-hosts-ambassador-of-iran-mansour-shakib-mehr-days-after-the-envoy-was-hosted-by-anc-3f71202a-9357-46a4-8516-6b6b0abc8118\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">describing</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> their relationship with Tehran as “warm and cordial”.</span>\r\n<h4><b>Grist to the mill</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This undoubtedly added grist to the mills of South Africa’s many enemies in the US, who have had Pretoria’s relations with Iran in their sights for some time. The </span><a href=\"https://www.news24.com/citypress/news/sa-ignores-warnings-about-iran-even-though-its-nuclear-programme-raises-concerns-20250309\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">US embassy in Pretoria warned</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> South Africa about possible sanctions when two Iranian warships docked in Cape Town in early 2023. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Africa’s relations with Iran came under scrutiny after the 7 October 2023 attack on Israel by Hamas, which Iran openly supports. On 22 October, South Africa’s then foreign minister Naledi Pandor visited Tehran and </span><a href=\"https://dirco.gov.za/minister-pandor-concludes-visit-to-the-islamic-republic-of-iran/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">met then president Ebrahim Raisi</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. At the time, foreign affairs officials told ISS Today she had among other things, delivered an invitation from Ramaphosa to visit South Africa, but that the visit had been called off.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And then in January 2024, the ANC – which had been flirting with insolvency for years – announced it had </span><a href=\"https://www.news24.com/news24/politics/anc-claims-financial-woes-are-over-and-its-ready-for-its-costly-election-campaign-20240113\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">managed to stabilise its finances</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> without explaining how. Just days earlier, South Africa had charged Israel with genocide in Gaza before the ICJ. The timing raised suspicions, and a few commentators opined that Iran had paid off the ANC for taking Israel to court. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The ANC and government denied this. A </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-01-25-iran-fund-south-africa-icj-israel-palestine-fact-check/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Daily Maverick fact check</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> found no evidence of a payoff, but concluded that the charges could not be proven or disproven, largely because the ANC accounts were not public. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The ANC also aroused suspicion </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-11-30-hamas-leaders-presence-in-sa-for-a-palestine-solidarity-convention-stirs-controversy/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">by hosting Hamas leaders</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for a Palestinian solidarity convention in South Africa shortly after the group attacked Israel. The ANC often seems to invite suspicion about its dealings with Iran and Hamas.</span>\r\n<h4><b>Nuclear reactor</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Statements by top ANC executive and Minister of Mineral and Petroleum Resources, Gwede Mantashe – just days after Trump cut aid to South Africa this year – are a good example. He said Iran and Russia were both welcome to bid for South Africa’s planned </span><a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/south-africa-open-nuclear-project-bids-russia-or-iran-minister-says-2025-02-17/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">contract to build a nuclear reactor</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to add 2,500 megawatts to the electricity grid.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yet, as Isabel Bosman, a Researcher at the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA), told ISS Today, Iran has no known capacity or track record of building nuclear power stations abroad. She said Iran had required Russian assistance even to build its own nuclear power station.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The fact that the </span><a href=\"https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20250304_03/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">International Atomic Energy Agency warned</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> this month that Tehran is moving closer to being able to build nuclear weapons, has not helped South Africa’s cause. Even though, as Bosman says, there’s no evidence of any nuclear cooperation between the two countries. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Chrispin Phiri, Spokesperson for South Africa’s Minister of International Relations and Cooperation Ronald Lamola, told ISS Today: “Regarding the baseless allegations of nuclear collaboration, we resolutely uphold the principle that nuclear weapons have no legitimate place in our shared future. South Africa remains unwavering in its dedication to international initiatives designed to curtail the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and their means of delivery.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It appears that the ANC is just being true to an old struggle-era ally, as it does with Cuba, Venezuela and Russia. (Even if, as Ukraine points out, the ANC’s struggle ally was the USSR, not Russia, and Ukraine was part of the USSR.)</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">South Africa and Iran’s official relationship goes back to the dawn of democracy when a Joint Commission of Cooperation was formed in 1995, and has met regularly ever since. </span>\r\n<h4><b>Old friends</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But as Steve Gruzd, Head of the African Governance and Diplomacy Programme at SAIIA notes, the ANC’s relationship with Iran is even older than that and “when the ANC makes a friend, it’s almost a friend for life and all sins are forgiven thereafter…” He told ISS Today the ANC had admired Iran since the 1979 revolution, and that it fell into the category of ANC friends that “are not popular in the West”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gruzd notes that South Africa has defended Iran at the United Nations for its right to run a nuclear programme for peaceful purposes. He also said that the South African cellphone provider MTN is heavily invested in Iran, with a 49% share in one of the main cellphone companies. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yet it’s clear that national economic interests do not drive the relationship as total trade between the two countries barely reached R300-million in 2023. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is curious that the ANC is so friendly with Hamas’ main sponsor and Hamas itself, which is dedicated to a one-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict. Officially, the ANC still supports a two-state solution and is closer to the Palestine Liberation Organisation – the co-architect of the two-state solution – than to Hamas. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Phiri observes that, “The narrative framing South Africa’s relationship with Iran echoes the now-discarded narrative towards Russia. Take for example [US] Secretary [of State Marco] Rubio’s statement on Russia relations – it refers to ‘a commitment to restore a respectful and constructive interstate dialogue with Russia’.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Phiri adds that “As a sovereign state, South Africa unequivocally reserves the right to engage in dialogue founded on mutual respect and constructive intent with any nation, in alignment with its principles and national interests.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That is of course true. It is also true that Trump is grossly overreacting to South Africa’s actions and positions. But countries should not be surprised if they are judged by the company they keep. Iran sponsors Hamas and Hezbollah to attack Israel, supplies drones to Russia to attack Ukraine and appears to be close to building nuclear weapons. </span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As with other old ANC chums such as Russia, one has to ask whether the rest of South Africa is paying too high a price for the ANC’s revolutionary nostalgia. <strong>DM</strong></span>\r\n\r\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First published by </span></i><a href=\"https://issafrica.org/iss-today\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ISS Today</span></i></a>\r\n\r\n<i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Peter Fabricius is an ISS consultant.</span></i>",
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