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"title": "The Great Schools Argument: Data indicates that schools should not be closed",
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"description": "Daily Maverick is an independent online news publication and weekly print newspaper in South Africa.\r\n\r\nIt is known for breaking some of the defining stories of South Africa in the past decade, including the Marikana Massacre, in which the South African Police Service killed 34 miners in August 2012.\r\n\r\nIt also investigated the Gupta Leaks, which won the 2019 Global Shining Light Award.\r\n\r\nThat investigation was credited with exposing the Indian-born Gupta family and former President Jacob Zuma for their role in the systemic political corruption referred to as state capture.\r\n\r\nIn 2018, co-founder and editor-in-chief Branislav ‘Branko’ Brkic was awarded the country’s prestigious Nat Nakasa Award, recognised for initiating the investigative collaboration after receiving the hard drive that included the email tranche.\r\n\r\nIn 2021, co-founder and CEO Styli Charalambous also received the award.\r\n\r\nDaily Maverick covers the latest political and news developments in South Africa with breaking news updates, analysis, opinions and more.",
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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It now appears that this is a debate between fear and science, and both sides make valid points. It is between the legitimate and human feeling of watching your child walk into a school with a face mask, to fearful teachers, and listening to an expert. In the meantime, Basic Education Minister Angie Motshekga may be playing for time, hoping that as the data on infections at schools emerges, it will move public opinion in favour of keeping them open.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There can be no doubt about the difficulty of the governance decision that keeping schools open poses. Here, and in many other countries, it appears to pose the most difficult</span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">governance decision of them all.</span>\r\n\r\nhttps://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2020-07-16-schools-the-hardest-governance-decision-of-them-all/\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Over the last few days, this discussion appears to have changed in important ways.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First, there is more evidence from the experts about keeping schools open. The economist Dr Nicholas Spaull has</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2020-07-22-six-reasons-why-schools-must-be-open-if-we-are-to-fight-covid-19/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">written convincingly</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> about why schools should stay open. Importantly, he changes the question: instead of asking about the “cost” of reopening schools, he suggests we should ask whether the benefits outweigh the costs.</span>\r\n\r\nhttps://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2020-07-22-six-reasons-why-schools-must-be-open-if-we-are-to-fight-covid-19/\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Another way of putting it may be to ask: Do children receive more benefit inside school, or outside school, during this time?</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This could change the game. Many experts, including Professor Jonathan Jansen, have said that the academic year is not worth saving. But that may not be the correct question. The correct question may be closer to Spaull’s benefit vs cost formulation.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Then there is the issue of school meals. Last week the High Court in Pretoria ruled that the Basic Education Department must reinstate the provision of meals in all provinces. This means that the other provinces will have to join the Western Cape in providing meals (the DA administration there kept the meals system running).</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If children are gathering to receive meals (and the importance of meals cannot be overstated), why not let them gather to receive education, too?</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the meantime, Equal Education has said that it believes communities should fight to keep schools open for as long as they can. In other words, if schools have to close from time to time, that’s fine, but keep them open so long as children are receiving some form of meal and education.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Equal Education secretary-general Noncedo Madubedube</span><a href=\"https://iono.fm/e/894616\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">also says that</span></a> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">people should not believe that there is teaching and learning taking place in “black, working-class households”. She says their surveys have found that 80% of children want to go back to school, as they see school as a “place of safety”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meanwhile, there is more data coming from the schools and the grades that are open. And the fact that still more data is likely to come through might well be what Motshekga is waiting for.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Western Cape Education MEC, Debbie Schäfer,</span><a href=\"https://www.timeslive.co.za/news/south-africa/2020-07-21-western-capes-debbie-schfer-kids-are-safer-at-school-so-let-them-learn/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">has said in a statement</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that the number of deaths of teachers in the province (30) “amounts to 0.84% of the total number of deaths in the Western Cape, and 0.07% of our teacher cohort”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The point that is being made here is that while teachers may be more vulnerable to the coronavirus in schools, so is everyone else who’s back at work. This leads to another question: if the argument is that schools should be closed to protect teachers, then shouldn’t every workplace be closed? Which rather neatly goes back to the question Motshekga reportedly posed to the teacher union Sadtu in consultations last week: If schools are closed, why must teachers get paid? Particularly while so many other people are not being paid because they have lost their jobs.</span>\r\n<blockquote><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It might be easy to claim that these fears are irrational, but they are not. For people who do not have easy access to information and experts, who have been told for the last four months by the media to radically change their behaviour, to stay away from each other, to wash their hands and to wear face masks, it is entirely rational to be fearful for their children.</span></blockquote>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The next question, of course, is: What do parents want?</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here, the data from Gauteng may be important. Education MEC Panyaza Lesufi says 70% of matric learners are at school. He was quoted by </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">News24</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> as saying that the Grade 6 recorded an attendance of 53%; Grade 7, 58%; Grade 11 over 61%; and Grade 12s an average of over 70%.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If that is the case for the grades that are open, then it would appear obvious that schooling must continue, with around three-quarters of learners at schools. Their parents have made the choice, and that choice must be respected. And it seems likely that the parents of children in other grades would follow their lead.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Motshekga could use more data like that from the Western Cape, which shows that teachers and learners are at no more risk from the disease inside school than they are outside school. As the current situation continues (with several grades at school, but not all of them), then her point may be proven in the end.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That would allow her and the Cabinet to get all the grades back into school.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, there are still significant levels of fear in communities.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Parent after parent phones in to talk-radio stations to complain about this issue, to ask: “Why are we putting our children in danger?”, to decry the “silly need to finish the academic year”. For this reason, the government should not consider enforcing demands that children go back to formal schooling. Rather, the promise that was made that no parent would be forced to send their child back to school should be kept.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It might be easy to claim that these fears are irrational, but they are not. For people who do not have easy access to information and experts, who have been told for the last four months by the media to radically change their behaviour, to stay away from each other, to wash their hands and to wear face masks, it is entirely rational to be fearful for their children.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Certainly, our behaviour in displaying this fear is much more rational than what is happening in some other countries. In the US, despite the strong medical evidence, many</span><a href=\"https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2020/06/25/face-masks-america-divided/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">refuse to wear face masks</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. In the UK, again despite the important evidence around face masks, people were fined for not wearing them on the</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8474181/ZERO-commuters-Transport-London-fined-face-masks-rule.html\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">London Underground from only three weeks ago</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span><b> </b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the scientists are right (and so far it appears they are) the data coming out of our schools may show that very few children and teachers become infected. That it is no more dangerous for a child or a teacher to be at school than being outside a school. If that is the case, Motshekga and the Cabinet will have strong reasons to keep children at school. And so far, parents are following their lead. </span><b>DM</b>\r\n\r\n<em>This story was updated post-publication to correct the percentage of learners returning in several grades in Gauteng. We apologise for the initial error.</em>",
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