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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Over the past few months, the power relationship between President Cyril Ramaphosa and Deputy President Paul Mashatile has changed significantly, with Mashatile on the defensive. This is partly because of Mashatile’s poor response to reports about his lifestyle and his inability to manage the fallout.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Just a few months ago, there were claims that </span><a href=\"https://www.news24.com/fin24/opinion/carol-paton-a-mashatile-presidency-may-be-coming-soon-what-does-he-stand-for-20230620\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mashatile was preparing</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to take political power from Ramaphosa, who </span><a href=\"https://www.news24.com/news24/opinions/columnists/qaanitah_hunter/qaanitah-hunter-is-cyril-ramaphosa-quiet-quitting-it-seems-like-it-20221018\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">was involved in “quiet quitting”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and had essentially given up on his job.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This was partly because of Ramaphosa’s seeming lack of action, but also because of Mashatile’s endeavours. He had been speaking to business leaders and investors and appeared to be trying to give the impression he was going to be President soon. He has since strongly denied any attempt to take power and has stressed his loyalty to Ramaphosa and the ANC.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the same time, from an objective point of view, Ramaphosa is now in what should be a moment of weakness.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This week’s interestingly timed </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-08-21-reserve-banks-buffalo-sized-phala-phala-cop-out-puts-president-ramaphosa-in-the-clear/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">release of the SA Reserve Bank finding</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that he had not contravened foreign exchange regulations in the Phala Phala scandal because the transaction had not been “perfected” should have been an important moment for anyone wanting to take over from Ramaphosa.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Especially since the SA Reserve Bank’s statement was deliberately cryptic (there has been much public criticism of the finding, but at least one financial surveillance expert, </span><a href=\"https://omny.fm/shows/safm-sunrise-1/the-sa-reserve-bank-says-it-cannot-find-president\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Raymond Paola</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, has said it is correct because the question hinges on whether the transaction was completed, and whether Ramaphosa was therefore “entitled” to the money).</span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more in Daily Maverick:</b><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-12-01-ramaphosas-farmgate-scandal-a-timeline-of-what-we-know-and-dont-know-so-far/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Ramaphosa’s Farmgate scandal – a timeline of what we know (and don’t know) so far</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While Ramaphosa has been </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-07-02-despite-being-cleared-by-phala-phala-report-ramaphosa-still-in-danger-of-being-defined-by-the-scandal/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">absolved by the SA Reserve Bank and the acting Public Protector</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, there are still so many questions about the dollars — reportedly between $580,000 and $600,000 — stolen from a sofa at his Phala Phala farm. His version, as submitted to the parliamentary panel investigating the issue, </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-12-01-as-ramaphosa-fights-for-his-political-life-anc-options-are-bad-worse-terrible/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">does not make sense</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. And, as Rise Mzansi leader Songezo Zibi has pointed out, </span><a href=\"https://www.timeslive.co.za/sunday-times-daily/opinion-and-analysis/2023-07-02-songezo-zibi-public-protector-report-has-more-holes-than-swiss-cheese/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">this explanation simply cannot be true</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n<h4><b>Damning claims against Mashatile</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite that, there is no sign of Mashatile’s star rising again. The claims made against him by </span><a href=\"https://specialprojects.news24.com/mashatile-unmasked/index.html\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">News24</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">’s reporting about his lifestyle were damning</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. There are recurring themes of “young women” and the frequent use of properties owned by people who have benefited from government contracts.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There may be more of these reports and perhaps even visual proofs to come.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mashatile and those around him have not responded credibly to these claims.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mashatile has granted several interviews to websites and newspapers, in which he has alleged that </span><a href=\"https://www.news24.com/citypress/politics/paul-mashatile-there-is-a-plot-to-oust-me-20230709\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">there is a “plot” against him</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, </span><a href=\"https://www.news24.com/citypress/politics/paul-mashatile-there-is-a-plot-to-oust-me-20230709\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ramaphosa has denied</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> this and Mashatile has been unable to provide any evidence of a plot to tarnish his reputation and oust him.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This has placed Mashatile in a difficult position as he is unable to manoeuvre away from his own claims. And because Ramaphosa has so strongly denied the claims, it’s difficult for any ANC leader to publicly support Mashatile.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Deputy President and his associates have made at least two serious mistakes.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The first was by the group of people known for many years as the Alex Mafia.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This group includes Mashatile, the businessperson Mike Maile, his brother Lebogang Maile, who is the Gauteng human settlements MEC, Keith Khoza and Bridgman Sithole.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In what must have been the most misjudged political move of recent times, they went to court to ask a judge to prevent </span><a href=\"https://www.news24.com/news24/southafrica/news/mashatiles-alex-mafia-friends-tried-to-punish-news24-high-court-says-and-penalises-them-instead-20230809\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">News24</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from referring to them as the “Alex Mafia”</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While some in the group may have felt genuinely aggrieved at the use of the phrase, the application was always doomed to fail. The name has been used for many years; they have never objected to it before and there was no attempt to prevent other media organisations from using it.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But worse than that, the application kept the story in the media and could be used to suggest that they were trying to bully a news organisation to stop the truth from being published.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Politically and PR-wise it was a disaster.</span>\r\n<h4><b>‘Stop harassing me’</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But worse was to come.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Last week, </span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">News24</span></i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> published a report that their journalist </span><a href=\"https://www.news24.com/news24/investigations/listen-stupid-racist-white-man-housing-mec-rages-when-asked-about-mashatile-linked-loans-probe-20230819\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kyle Cowan had been verbally abused by Lebogang Maile</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cowan had phoned Maile for an update on a promised independent investigation into a series of loans made by the Gauteng provincial government to relatives of Mashatile. Mashatile </span><a href=\"https://www.news24.com/news24/investigations/mashatile-unmasked-the-r37m-waterfall-mansion-his-son-in-law-and-a-gauteng-govt-housing-loan-20230712\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lives in a property owned by these relatives</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Instead of answering Cowan’s questions, Maile referred to him as a “stupid white man” and said, “No, no, no, no, shut up, shut up. Didn’t I tell you I had appointed the GPF [Gauteng Partnership Fund] to deal with this thing? Stop harassing me. Once they give me the report I will f***ing give you the report.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While it is not known what state of mind Maile was in when he took the call, this still shows a shocking inability to manage a press inquiry. From any point of view, it is entirely the wrong response.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Not only is it prejudiced and insulting, but it suggests that Maile and by extension, Mashatile, are feeling under pressure.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It may force Maile’s boss in government, Gauteng Premier Panyaza Lesufi, to take action against him, particularly because of the racial nature of the verbal abuse he hurled at Cowan.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Certainly, it is the kind of comment that leaves Mashatile and Maile wide open for criticism by their opponents in the ANC.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It shows that Mashatile and his allies have no reliable strategy for how to respond to the mounting claims against them.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the meantime, despite the Phala Phala developments, Ramaphosa again appears to be in the ascendancy.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The BRICS Summit, and in particular the state visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping, has given him a chance to remind everyone that he is the President.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mashatile’s main contribution to the BRICS summit so far has been to </span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-08-22-tough-love-triangle-while-ramaphosa-focused-on-xi-modi-threw-a-tantrum-and-refused-to-get-off-his-plane/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">mollify Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, who was unhappy at being met only by a Cabinet minister, while Xi was met by Ramaphosa.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While the dynamic between a President and a Deputy President can wax and wane over time, a scandal the size of Phala Phala should be hugely damaging for Ramaphosa. However, Mashatile’s own scandals appear to have weakened him so severely that he is unable to challenge Ramaphosa for power.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One of the most enduring questions of the past six years has been who would take over from Ramaphosa. Last year’s ANC election was supposed to provide closure to that question.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mashatile’s smallanyana skeletons have reopened it. </span><b>DM</b>",
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