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"contents": "<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Former President Jacob Zuma has been a free man for just under two years — but his days of liberty may be numbered.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are “no reasonable prospects of success” in appealing against a ruling that he should return to prison after being unlawfully released early on medical parole in September 2021, ruled the Constitutional Court on Thursday.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The application had been brought on behalf of the National Commissioner of Correctional Services, previously found to have erred in releasing Zuma after just two months of imprisonment. The apex court did not hear arguments in the matter, with a 10-judge Bench dismissing the prisons commissioner’s application in just one paragraph.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Correctional Services had approached the Constitutional Court after Zuma was smacked down by the Supreme Court of Appeal (SCA) in November 2022. But Thursday’s ruling means that the</span><a href=\"http://www.saflii.org/za/cases/ZASCA/2022/159.html\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SCA’s findings</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> now hold.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The critical passage from that November judgment reads as follows:</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Once the order in this appeal is handed down, Mr Zuma’s position as it was prior to his release on medical parole will be reinstated. In other words, Mr Zuma, in law, has not finished serving his sentence. He must return to the Escourt Correctional Centre to do so.”</span>\r\n<h4><b>Arthur Fraser’s gift to Zuma revoked</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Department of Correctional Services said on Thursday that it was seeking legal advice on the matter.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current prisons head Makgothi Thobakgale was not the man responsible for the decision to release Zuma after serving just eight weeks of a 15-month sentence for contempt of court, stemming from Zuma’s refusal to cooperate with the Zondo Commission.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It was his predecessor, former spy boss Arthur Fraser — also the architect of President Cyril Ramaphosa’s Phala Phala misfortune, or at least the revelation thereof — who chose to free Zuma.</span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more in Daily Maverick: </b><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-02-01-zuma-lauds-arthur-fraser-for-saving-him-from-death-itself-in-jail/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Jacob Zuma lauds Arthur Fraser for saving him from ‘death itself’ in jail and averting ‘national stress’</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Zuma began his sentence at the Estcourt Correctional Centre on 8 July 2021. Fraser released him on 5 September 2021 — despite the fact that the Correctional Supervision and Parole Board had decided just three days earlier that Zuma did not qualify for medical parole.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Evidence heard by the courts shows that the board found that although Zuma suffered from “multiple comorbidities”, his treatment was “optimised” and “all conditions” had been “brought under control”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The board concluded: “From the available information in the [medical] reports, the conclusion reached by the [board] is that the applicant is stable and does not qualify for medical parole”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When Fraser released Zuma regardless, he said in a statement that the Estcourt Correctional Centre did not have the kind of specialised capacity to care adequately for Zuma’s conditions and that the former president’s life would be placed at risk through his continued incarceration there.</span>\r\n<div class=\"mceTemp\"></div>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fraser also noted that Zuma’s imprisonment “occasioned a unique moment within the history of Correctional Services, where a former Head of State of the Republic of South Africa is incarcerated whilst still entitled to privileges as bestowed by the Constitution”.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Three successive courts have now thrown out Fraser’s reasoning: the high court, the Supreme Court of Appeal and now the Constitutional Court.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The message, legally speaking, could not be clearer: Fraser was wrong to release Zuma, and the remainder of Zuma’s sentence technically remains to be served.</span>\r\n<h4><b>Length of remaining term: a complicating factor</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But in upholding the SCA’s findings on the matter, the Constitutional Court has also upheld the SCA’s verdict that ultimately the determination as to the “remaining period of [Zuma’s] incarceration” is one for the prisons commissioner to decide.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“Whether the time spent by Mr Zuma on unlawfully granted medical parole should be taken into account in determining the remaining period of his incarceration, is not a matter for this Court to decide. It is a matter to be considered by the Commissioner,” the November 2022 ruling held.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">“If he is empowered by law to do so, the Commissioner might take that period into account in determining any application or grounds for release.”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is not quite clear currently whether this could mean that prisons boss Thobakgale would be now entitled to decide that Zuma has, for all intents and purposes, concluded his sentence nonetheless.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In other words, Zuma’s return to orange overalls is not quite a foregone conclusion.</span>\r\n<h4><b>Two years on, fears of violence remain</b></h4>\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The timing of the Constitutional Court ruling is, at least from one perspective, rather unfortunate.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is two years almost to the week since the original ruling that Zuma be locked up for defying the Zondo Commission precipitated tremendous violence and looting in KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A spate of recent truck burnings has sparked fears that something similar could be brewing currently; a fear exacerbated by the persistently reckless tweeting of Zuma’s daughter Dudu Zuma-Sambudla.</span>\r\n\r\n<b>Read more in Daily Maverick: </b><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-07-13-concourt-on-mkhwebane-suyspension-no-bias-by-ramaphosa/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Open Letter: Dear Duduzile Zuma, do you understand the horror that your call for ‘another unrest’ will wreak?</span></a>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Earlier this week,</span><a href=\"https://twitter.com/DZumaSambudla/status/1678637725300191232\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Zuma-Sambudla tweeted</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in response to a video of a truck burning: “We See You! July Never Fails Us!”</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Currently,</span><a href=\"https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-07-12-saps-hunt-12-in-truck-arson-wave-as-police-minister-rejects-links-to-july-2021-riots/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">there is no evidence to suggest</span></a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that the truck attacks are linked to pro-Zuma sentiment, or connected with the events of July 2021.</span>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But the prospect of the former president’s return to jail cannot help but stoke the memories, still raw, of the carnage that accompanied his first prison sojourn. </span><b>DM</b>",
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